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Analysts Say U.S. Jobs Report Could Support Waller's View of the Labor Market
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News EditorEconomists expect the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics to report that nonfarm payrolls rose by 55,000 in August, after an unexpected decline in July, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1%. Analyst Anna Wong said Waller's hawkish remarks at Jackson Hole raised the odds of a September rate hike and changed how markets may read next week’s data. She added that the expected weakness in the jobs report may no longer carry the same weight it usually does. Waller described the labor market as healthy and said slower job growth is often a demographic issue rather than a sign of recession.
BlockBeats reported on August 30 that economists expect the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly jobs report on Friday to show nonfarm payrolls rising by 55,000 in August, after July employment unexpectedly fell. If that forecast proves correct, the gain would be roughly in line with this year’s average monthly increase, while the unemployment rate is expected to stay at 4.1%.
Analyst Anna Wong said Waller’s hawkish speech at Jackson Hole increased the odds of a September rate hike and changed expectations for how the market should read next week’s data. She said the August nonfarm payrolls report is still the headline number, but the expected weakness may not be as decisive as it usually is.
Waller described the labor market as healthy and said slower job growth is often a demographic issue rather than a recession signal.
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