According to Jin10, the US Treasury expects privately held net marketable debt financing to reach $739 billion in the July-to-September quarter of 2026, based on an assumed cash balance of $950 billion at the end of September. The estimate is $68 billion higher than the figure released in May, with the change mainly tied to lower expected net cash inflows. The Treasury also said it expects to borrow $628 billion in the October-to-December quarter of 2026, assuming a cash balance of $850 billion at the end of December. The update lays out the government’s latest quarterly financing projections and the cash balance assumptions attached to those figures.
According to Jin10, the US Treasury expects privately held net marketable debt financing to total $739 billion in the July-September quarter of 2026, assuming a cash balance of $950 billion at the end of September.
That estimate is $68 billion higher than the figure released in May, mainly because of lower expected net cash inflows.
The Treasury also expects to borrow $628 billion in the October-December quarter of 2026, assuming a cash balance of $850 billion at the end of December.
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