Fed Hawkish Tone, Hormuz Standoff and Nvidia Clarification Put CPI in Focus
Federal Reserve officials struck a hawkish tone again, pushing markets to treat the upcoming U.S. July CPI report as the main input for September rate pricing. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said fast-rising prices remain the biggest economic problem, while Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said multiple rate hikes may be needed to bring inflation back to the 2% target. CME data shows expectations for a September hold and a hike are roughly balanced. Geopolitical pressure is also building. Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved after Iranian Supreme National Security Council Secretary Rezaei said the waterway would not reopen unless the U.S. accepts ceasefire conditions including asset unfreezing and an end to related regional fighting. In parallel, the U.S. military fired missiles in the Gulf of Oman at a Panama-flagged cargo ship heading to an Iranian port, while Houthi attacks in the Bab el-Mandeb targeted Saudi and Egyptian vessels and caused crew deaths. Across markets, oil stayed supported, major U.S. indexes fell, and crypto traded under pressure. BTC slipped below $64,000, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded another day of net outflows, and leveraged liquidations skewed heavily toward longs. Nvidia, meanwhile, saw some concern ease after Jensen Huang clarified the company’s role in a previously misunderstood compute financing plan.








