BofA raises memory outlook through 2027, sees Samsung preparing large buyback and special dividend
Bank of America Securities said the memory upcycle is still running and lifted its outlook for the global DRAM and NAND markets through 2028, with the strongest stretch extending into 2027. In its Aug. 7 global memory technology weekly report, the firm projected global DRAM industry revenue at $57.3 billion in 2026, rising to $84.7 billion in 2027 and $91.7 billion in 2028, while NAND revenue is seen at $35.75 billion, $46.75 billion and then lower in 2028. The report also said HBM remains the key driver, with the HBM market expected to reach $7.74 billion in 2026 and $15.28 billion in 2027, alongside higher shipment mix and pricing. BofA also pointed to a sharper-than-seasonal rebound in spot pricing. NAND spot prices for 512Gb to 1Tb products rose 5% to 6% this week, while 256Gb products gained more than 10%. DRAM spot prices increased 1% to 2% from the prior period. Against that backdrop, the bank said Samsung Electronics may soon announce major shareholder returns in the form of buybacks and a special dividend. It estimated the special dividend could exceed KRW 30 trillion and the repurchase program could top KRW 40 trillion, based on Samsung’s framework of returning 50% of 2024-2026 free cash flow to shareholders after annual dividends already paid.








