AI investing
2026-08-06 07:00:00AI Trade Cools as Wall Street Shifts Focus From Compute to Monetization and Hard Assets
AI-linked U.S. equities staged a sharp rebound in the first week of August, with major names across the supply chain posting gains of more than 10%, Nvidia rising for five straight sessions, and Marvell up nearly 20%. But the move followed a bruising selloff in late July rather than a clean restart of the prior momentum trade.
According to PANews, citing the latest view from Morgan Stanley China chief economist Xing Ziqiang, the recent volatility in AI stocks was less about deteriorating fundamentals and more about a temporary reset driven by crowded positioning, aggressive fundraising by large technology companies, and rising rate expectations linked to higher oil prices. The article says that view is increasingly shared across Wall Street.
The report argues that the first phase of AI investing was dominated by the “picks-and-shovels” trade in chips, semiconductors, memory, and computing infrastructure. The next phase may split in two directions. One is the application layer, where investors are expected to focus on return on investment, cost savings, revenue conversion, and cash-flow delivery. The other is the physical world, where energy, power grids, copper, infrastructure equipment, and other HALO assets — heavy assets with low obsolescence — are being re-rated as scarce foundations of AI expansion.
The article also warns that these hard assets are not risk-free. Their buildout is capital intensive and slow, and if commercialization at the application layer lags, front-loaded investment in energy and compute infrastructure could still lead to excess capacity and stranded assets.