Polymarket2026-08-09 08:03:37Polymarket Odds of US Ending Iran Blockade by Aug. 31 Slip to 59%According to PPP prediction market data, Polymarket traders now see a 59% chance that the United States will end its blockade of Iran by Aug. 31, down 16% over the past 24 hours. The probability for an end by Sept. 30 fell 11% to 77%. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi vowed to continue Tehran's resistance stance, saying Iran has suffered casualties from U.S. and Israeli strikes and will neither forget nor forgive those killed.2020
Houthis2026-07-31 20:40:41Houthis say blockade against Saudi Arabia will continue, ships may be interceptedChainCatcher, citing Jin10, reported that Yemen’s Houthi forces said they will continue blockade operations against Saudi Arabia. The group said its armed forces will intercept Saudi ships wherever possible, provided conditions allow. The update was published as a 7x24 news flash. No further details were provided in the brief. The report attributes the statement to the Houthi side and does not include additional operational timing, locations, or response from Saudi Arabia. Given the short source text, the available information is limited to the statement itself and its immediate wording. This item was carried by ChainCatcher with Jin10 named as the cited source.1950
Trump2026-07-23 18:30:15Trump Suspends Iran Attack, Extends Ceasefire, Cites 'Seriously Fractured' GovernmentPresident Trump, at Pakistan's request, announced a pause on military strikes against Iran and extended the ceasefire, while maintaining a naval blockade and highest alert. The statement cited a 'seriously fractured' Iranian government awaiting a unified proposal.450
Donald Trump2026-07-13 14:36:44Trump says U.S. will revive “Iranian Blockade” and charge 20% on cargo moving through the Strait of HormuzU.S. President Donald Trump said on July 13, 2026, via Truth Social that the United States would immediately restart what he called “THE IRANIAN BLOCKADE,” describing it as a military and economic action aimed only at Iranian ships or customers and meant to stop them from entering or leaving the Strait of Hormuz. In the same statement, Trump said the strait is open and will remain open “with or without Iran,” and declared that the U.S. would be known as “THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT.” Trump also said the U.S. would impose a 20% fee on all cargo transported through the waterway, calling it compensation for the cost of providing security in what he described as an extremely turbulent region. He wrote that the charging process and staffing action would begin immediately. The source article noted that the Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most important oil transit chokepoints and carries nearly one-fifth of global oil consumption each day.1720
