Bitcoin2026-06-30 12:44:21Swan CEO: Record Bitcoin Holder Supply Signals Early Market BottomCory Klippsten, CEO of Swan Bitcoin, suggests that the record-high supply of Bitcoin held by long-term holders indicates that the crypto market bottom may arrive earlier than expected. The analysis is based on on-chain data reflecting supply dynamics and market sentiment shifts.1290
Bitcoin2026-06-30 08:01:15Bitcoin Long-Term Holders MVRV Drops to 3-Year Low While Holdings Hit All-Time High: Divergent Signals Near Market BottomCryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. reports that the Bitcoin long-term holder MVRV ratio has compressed to 1.24, the lowest in nearly three years. The cost basis has risen to $48,400, with BTC price at $59,000, leaving only 24% average profit and a 19% gap. Despite shrinking margins, long-term holder holdings reached a record 16.1 million BTC, while sell-side metrics remain low, indicating holders are absorbing supply rather than selling. Historically, MVRV near 1 signals cycle bottoms, but the current level has not entered the 'green capitulation zone'. Key downside risk is a breakdown below $48,400 accompanied by a surge in selling, which could trigger a capitulation event among the most steadfast holders.1880
Bitcoin2026-06-28 12:31:16Bitcoin UTXO Ratio Hits Bear Cycle Low: Capitulation Signal Appears as Long-Term Holder SOPR Turns NegativeCryptoQuant analyst Darkfost reveals that Bitcoin's UTXO loss-to-gain ratio has dropped to the lowest level of the current bear market cycle, signaling an imminent capitulation phase. The last similar occurrence was in mid-2023 when BTC fell to ~$26,000. This is the first such trigger in the current correction, while the long-term holder SOPR has also entered negative territory, indicating intense selling pressure but historically pointing to a potential bottom formation.1900
Bitcoin2026-06-28 11:01:36Bitcoin UTXO Loss Ratio Hits Cycle Low: Analyst Warns of Market CapitulationCryptoQuant 分析师 Darkfost 指出，比特币 UTXO 亏损成交占比已降至本轮熊市周期最低水平，表明市场恐慌情绪达到顶峰，投资者正进入明显的投降阶段。历史数据显示，该信号曾在 2023 年中触底（比特币约 26,000 美元）后开启反弹。同时，长期持有者 SOPR 进入负值区间，进一步确认抛压加剧。当前信号是本次回调以来首次触发，可能预示短期底部临近。1970
Bitcoin2026-06-28 02:51:04Bitcoin UTXO Signals Capitulation Underway; Analyst Says These Periods Have Always Been Profitable for Long-Term InvestorsCryptoQuant analyst Darkfost highlights that Bitcoin's unspent transaction output (UTXO) indicator is showing a clear capitulation pattern, often associated with bear market bottoms. Historically, such periods have provided favorable entry points for long-term holders, according to Darkfost.1380
Bitcoin2026-06-28 02:51:04Bitcoin UTXO Signals Capitulation, Analyst Says Long-Term Investors Could ProfitCryptoQuant分析师Darkfost指出，比特币未花费交易输出（UTXO）指标正显示市场投降信号。他认为此类历史阶段对长期投资者而言是盈利机会，当前市场情绪低迷但可能蕴藏反弹潜力。1200
Bitcoin2026-06-26 05:31:38On-Chain Data and Liquidity Analysis: Bitcoin's $59K Is Not the Bottom—One More Drop NeededBased on on-chain data (Cointime Price, PSIP, AVIV) and technical liquidity analysis, the article asserts that Bitcoin's current range of $59,000-$63,000 has not yet reached the cyclical bottom. The market still requires a breakdown below $59,000 to complete liquidity flushing, confirming the true floor. The author advises investors to stick to their circle of competence and avoid chasing rallies driven by short-term hype.1880
Bitcoin2026-06-23 19:09:26Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Selling Hits 19-Month Low, Halving Model Flags September as Potential BottomOG Bitcoin holders' spending dropped to a 19-month low, while halving cycle indicators point to September as a potential market bottom.1240
