Bernstein Says Bitcoin Has Likely Bottomed as Strategy Expands Its Bitcoin Treasury Firepower

Bernstein Says Bitcoin Has Likely Bottomed as Strategy Expands Its Bitcoin Treasury Firepower

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News Editor 01
2026-07-03 21:30:14
Wall Street broker Bernstein argues that Bitcoin has likely already found a local bottom and continues to maintain a year-end 2026 target of $150,000. The firm’s bullish case is built on two main drivers: resilient spot ETF inflows and rising corporate treasury demand for BTC. Bernstein also highlights Strategy (MSTR) as one of the market’s most leveraged public proxies for Bitcoin exposure, noting that the company now holds about 3.6% of total Bitcoin supply, worth roughly $53.5 billion, and raised $7.3 billion in 2026 to keep expanding its position during recent market weakness. Another important point in the report is the growing investor interest in Strategy’s preferred shares, especially STRC, whose structure can provide long-duration capital while helping reduce common equity dilution. The article further examines Strategy’s latest capital-markets move: an expansion of its at-the-market issuance capacity through additional Wall Street sales agents, enabling potential issuance of $21 billion in common stock, $21 billion in STRC preferred shares, and $2.1 billion in STRK preferred shares. Finally, it reviews Bitcoin’s recent price action around geopolitical headlines involving Donald Trump and Iran. Despite sharp intraday volatility, BTC remained resilient, gained about 7% since late February, and could move toward the $85,000 to $90,000 range if it breaks above $75,000.
BitcoinBernsteinStrategyMSTRSpot ETFCorporate TreasuryATM Offering

Wall Street brokerage Bernstein believes Bitcoin has most likely already carved out a meaningful bottom and has reaffirmed its $150,000 year-end 2026 price target. In the firm’s view, the recent pullback should not be read as a structural failure of the bull case. Instead, it looks more like a temporary reset in market sentiment, while the underlying demand picture remains constructive. Bernstein points to strong spot ETF inflows and continued corporate treasury accumulation as the two most important pillars supporting a rebound in BTC.

Analysts led by Gautam Chhugani also emphasized the role of Strategy (MSTR), which they describe as a high-beta public market proxy for Bitcoin. According to figures cited by StreetInsider, Strategy now holds around 3.6% of total Bitcoin supply, with those holdings valued at approximately $53.5 billion. Rather than pausing during recent weakness, the company continued to add to its stack near lower levels and raised $7.3 billion in 2026 to further expand its Bitcoin position.

Bernstein additionally drew attention to growing investor interest in Strategy’s preferred shares, especially STRC. That matters because the structure is designed to help the company secure steady, long-duration capital while limiting dilution relative to repeated common-stock issuance. In other words, Strategy is not only buying Bitcoin aggressively; it is also refining the financing architecture behind that strategy so it can keep executing at scale over time.

Strategy is expanding its multi-billion-dollar funding capacity to buy more Bitcoin

At the center of the story is Strategy’s effort to meaningfully increase the amount of capital it can raise through ATM (at-the-market) offerings. For a company that has made Bitcoin treasury accumulation a defining corporate strategy, a larger ATM pipeline effectively means more flexibility to keep purchasing BTC when opportunities arise. This is why the latest disclosure is important: it strengthens the company’s ability to tap public markets quickly and repeatedly.

On March 23, Strategy disclosed that it had added Moelis & Company, A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners, and StoneX Financial as new sales agents under its existing Omnibus Sales Agreement. These firms join a distribution syndicate that already included major Wall Street institutions such as Barclays, Morgan Stanley, TD Securities, and Cantor Fitzgerald. The expansion shows that Strategy is broadening the number of channels through which it can sell securities into the market.

With those additions in place, the company now has the ability to run additional ATM programs tied to its Class A common stock and preferred-share instruments. Specifically, the new programs allow Strategy to sell up to:

  • $21 billion of new common stock,
  • $21 billion of STRC preferred shares, and
  • $2.1 billion of STRK preferred shares.

These authorizations are not standalone in a vacuum; they supplement earlier approvals. Strategy also said that the prior STRK ATM program had been terminated and replaced by the new $2.1 billion offering. From a market perspective, this is a major signal that the company intends to preserve significant financing flexibility for future Bitcoin purchases while diversifying the securities it uses to raise capital.

Why Bernstein remains constructive on Bitcoin despite the pullback

Although Bitcoin pulled back sharply from its late-2025 highs, Bernstein does not interpret that move as a breakdown in fundamentals. The brokerage’s framing is that the decline reflected a cooling-off period after overheated sentiment, not a reversal in the broader institutional adoption trend. As long as inflows from larger pools of capital remain intact, especially through spot ETFs and corporate treasury programs, the medium-term upside case remains alive.

This distinction is critical. In earlier market cycles, Bitcoin rallies were often driven predominantly by retail enthusiasm, exchange leverage, and rapid speculative turnover. The current setup is different. Today, spot ETF demand and balance-sheet allocation from companies like Strategy create a more durable source of buying interest. That does not remove volatility, but it does change the character of demand. Bernstein’s confidence rests on the idea that these flows provide stronger support than previous cycle dynamics.

That is also why MSTR continues to attract so much attention. As a high-beta Bitcoin proxy, it can amplify market optimism when BTC rises, but it is also judged on its capital structure and financing discipline whenever Bitcoin becomes volatile. Bernstein’s favorable view appears tied to three things at once: continued low-level accumulation, access to very large funding channels, and the increasing use of preferred-share structures that may reduce pressure on common shareholders.

Geopolitical headlines caused volatility, but Bitcoin still held up well

Bitcoin surged to near $71,000 at the start of the week after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a brief pause in planned strikes against Iran. The headline quickly lifted broader risk appetite, and BTC moved higher alongside that shift. For traders, the reaction was a reminder that even in a more institutionally driven market, macro and geopolitical developments can still trigger sharp short-term repricing.

The rally then faded after Iran’s Foreign Ministry, speaking through state media, denied that talks had taken place in the form described by Trump. That reversal highlighted the market’s sensitivity to geopolitical uncertainty and conflicting official narratives. Even so, the article stresses that Bitcoin remained relatively firm rather than collapsing, suggesting that underlying demand may have helped absorb the shock.

Despite the volatility, BTC has gained roughly 7% since late February, outperforming traditional assets over the same period. From a technical standpoint, the setup still looks more like consolidation than breakdown. If Bitcoin can decisively reclaim and break above $75,000, the article notes that the next move could open a path toward the $85,000 to $90,000 range. In that sense, short-term swings are still very real, but the broader tone in this report remains clearly constructive.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
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