Miller Whitehouse-Levine, chief executive of the Solana Policy Institute, said the window for the Clarity Act to pass before the November midterm elections is closing quickly. Speaking at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium 2026, he said he would put the odds of the bill becoming law before the midterms at roughly 10%. He described the measure as being stuck in "August recess purgatory" after the Senate had already spent more than a year working on the legislation. Whitehouse-Levine added that a procedural motion planned for Sept. 15 would only mark the first of several votes needed to move the bill forward. While he said he remained hopeful, he also said he was being realistic about the bill’s chances. His estimate is more pessimistic than prediction markets. On Polymarket, the probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law by year-end stood at 21%, with more than $7 million in volume. On Kalshi, the odds were 23%, down from 50% less than a month ago.
Miller Whitehouse-Levine, chief executive of the Solana Policy Institute, said the window for the Clarity Act to pass before the November midterm elections is narrowing fast.
Speaking at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium 2026, Whitehouse-Levine said he would put the probability of the bill becoming law before the midterms at about 10%.
He described the legislation as being in "August recess purgatory." According to Whitehouse-Levine, the Senate has already spent more than a year working on the measure, but the shrinking amount of time left in the current Congress is making final passage harder.
He also said a procedural motion scheduled for Sept. 15 would be only the first in a series of votes required to advance the bill. In his words, he remains hopeful, but realistic about the odds.
That view is more bearish than prediction market pricing. Polymarket currently shows a 21% chance that the Clarity Act will be signed into law by the end of the year, with trading volume above $7 million. On Kalshi, the implied probability stands at 23%, down from 50% less than a month ago.
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