Polymarket bettors now assign a 76% probability to Anthropic hitting a $1.5 trillion valuation within the year, according to PPP, a prediction-market monitoring tool that tracks Polymarket outcome probabilities. The odds rose 13% over the past 24 hours. Separately, the chance of reaching $1.25 trillion sits at 92%, up 8% in the same period. PPP tracks the Polymarket event titled “Anthropic Valuation to Hit Target Within the Year.” Settlement rules lean primarily on the private-market valuation published by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM), which currently stands at about $1.13 trillion. If Anthropic goes public via an IPO or direct listing during the window, the official offering price and the company’s public-market capitalization after listing will also be used in the final outcome. The Wall Street Journal has reported that Anthropic plans to list in September or early October, but no offering price or concrete schedule has been released. A successful listing could become one of the largest IPOs in history.
Bettors on Polymarket now see a 76% chance that Anthropic’s valuation will reach $1.5 trillion this year, according to PPP, a prediction-market monitoring tool. That probability is up 13% over the past 24 hours. The same event also shows a 92% likelihood of touching $1.25 trillion, up 8% in the same window.
The market settles primarily against Anthropic’s private-market valuation as published by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic completes an IPO or direct listing during the period, the official offering price and the company’s public-market capitalization after listing will also be taken into account. NPM data cited on the Polymarket page currently puts Anthropic’s valuation at approximately $1.13 trillion.
The Wall Street Journal has reported that Anthropic plans to go public in September or early October. The company has not yet released a specific offering price or timetable. Were the listing to go through, it could rank among the largest IPOs in history.
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