PPP’s prediction market tracker shows that on Polymarket, the odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 during the rest of October have climbed to 72%, up 17% over the past 24 hours. A separate market tracking whether BTC will touch $77,500 in the same period has risen to 48%, marking a 14% increase over 24 hours.
The contract’s settlement rules are tied specifically to Binance’s BTC/USDT trading pair. Under those terms, the market resolves based on whether the high of any one-minute candle on Binance BTC/USDT reaches or exceeds the target price during the month named in the title, measured from 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time on the first day of the month through 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on the last day. If that condition is met, the market settles to Yes immediately; if not, it settles to No.
The rules also state that only the one-minute candle high on Binance BTC/USDT counts for settlement. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
PPP’s prediction market tracker shows that on Polymarket, the odds of 「BTC hitting $80,000 during the rest of October」 have risen to 72%, up 17% in the past 24 hours.
In another related market, the odds of BTC touching $77,500 during the rest of October climbed to 48%, a 14% increase over 24 hours.
Settlement is based on Binance BTC/USDT
Under the contract rules, the market uses the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair as its reference. During the month specified in the title, from 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time on the first day of the month to 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on the last day, the market resolves to Yes immediately if the high of any one-minute candle is equal to or above the target price. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
The rules state that only the one-minute candle high on Binance BTC/USDT is used for settlement. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets are not counted.
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