Bettors on Polymarket pushed the implied odds of the crypto market structure bill known as the Clarity Act to 43% for passage this year, rebounding from a record low seen last week. The move followed unverified reports that Donald Trump had agreed to an ethics deal. Those reports had not been confirmed at the time of publication, and no bill text had surfaced. The item was reported by CoinDesk’s Shaurya Malwa and edited by Jamie Crawley, with the article published on July 21, 2026 and later updated the same day. The change reflects a shift in prediction market positioning rather than any confirmed legislative release.
Polymarket bettors moved the odds of the crypto market structure bill known as the Clarity Act to a 43% chance of passing this year, up from a record low last week.
Unconfirmed report drove the move
The jump came after unverified reports said Donald Trump had agreed to an ethics deal. The reports were still unconfirmed at the time of publication.
CoinDesk said no bill text had appeared.
The article was written by Shaurya Malwa and edited by Jamie Crawley. It was published on July 21, 2026 at 11:19 a.m. and updated at 11:39 a.m.
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