PPP’s prediction-market tracker shows that on Polymarket, the odds for the contract titled Strategy being removed from the MSCI indexes by Dec. 31 have climbed to 90%, up 25% over the past 24 hours. Under the market’s settlement rules, the contract resolves to Yes if Strategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index before 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Dec. 31, 2026. A transfer to another MSCI index is also treated as a removal for settlement purposes. The outcome will be determined based on an official MSCI announcement, or on consistent reporting from multiple credible media outlets. The update reflects pricing on the prediction market and the contract’s stated rules, rather than any confirmed index action at this stage.
PPP’s prediction-market tracker shows that on Polymarket, the odds of the contract "Strategy will be removed from the MSCI indexes by Dec. 31" have risen to 90%, up 25% over the past 24 hours.
Under the settlement rules, the market resolves to "Yes" if Strategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index before 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on Dec. 31, 2026. If the company is moved to another MSCI index, that will also count as a removal.
The contract will be settled based on an official MSCI announcement or consistent reporting from multiple credible media outlets.
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