Analyst Willy Woo suggests Bitcoin's long-held 4-year cycle, driven by halving supply shocks, could be evolving. Annual new supply has dropped to 0.8% and is set to fall to 0.4%, weakening internal forces. Meanwhile, traditional financial markets are in a 6-8 year short-term debt cycle, and Bitcoin may align with this longer rhythm.
Cycle Shift Signals
PANews, September 3 – Analyst Willy Woo said Bitcoin has been stuck for years in the pull of a 4-year cycle, with halving-driven supply shocks setting the tone. But annual new supply is already just 0.8%, and it is set to fall to 0.4%, so that internal push is slowly fading.
Woo also said traditional financial markets are now moving through a 6-8 year short-term debt cycle, and Bitcoin could be shifting toward that same 6-8 year rhythm. So Bitcoin’s cyclicality may no longer come only from halvings, and may instead track macro financial conditions more closely.
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