President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to its lowest level of his second term, according to political analyst Nate Silver, who tied the drop to the ongoing Iran war and a sharp rise in gasoline prices. Silver said the timing closely matches the return of fighting with Iran and higher energy costs. With the war nearing the six-month mark, data from the American Automobile Association showed the U.S. average gasoline price at about $4.11 per gallon as of Friday morning, up from roughly $3.15 a year earlier. Polling averages from Decision Desk HQ put Trump’s overall approval at 40.6%, while his average disapproval stood at 57.5%. Other surveys point to broader public opposition to the conflict. A Quinnipiac University poll found 60% of U.S. voters opposed the war, the highest share since the conflict began on Feb. 28. Nearly three-quarters of Americans said they opposed sending U.S. troops to Iran. An AP-NORC poll found 64% of Americans viewed the war as “not worth it,” including 87% of Democrats, 37% of Republicans and 68% of independents.

Trump’s approval ratings have fallen to 2026 lows, while Polymarket traders now price a 70% chance of impeachment before his term ends. Rising fuel prices, Iran war concerns, and midterm expectations are driving market activity.

A new AP-NORC poll shows President Donald Trump’s approval rating unchanged at 37%, while approval of his handling of the Iran war remains stable at 34%. A majority of respondents still say the United States has gone too far in its military action in Iran.

An AP-NORC poll shows U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval rating holding at 37%, unchanged from last month, while 53% of respondents say U.S. military action in Iran has gone too far.

A new AP-NORC poll shows President Donald Trump’s approval rating holding steady at 37%, unchanged from last month, while 53% of respondents say U.S. military action in Iran has gone too far.