Stocks Slip Ahead of Payrolls as Hawkish Fed Signals Build, Oil and Copper Climb
Wall Street turned cautious ahead of the U.S. July nonfarm payrolls report, with the three major stock indexes ending lower, Treasury yields climbing and the dollar testing the 100 level. Oil jumped after Iran advanced a draft rule for transit in the Strait of Hormuz, while LME copper neared historic highs after the Democratic Republic of the Congo moved to ban exports of copper-cobalt concentrates. At the same time, investors reassessed AI-related spending and guidance risk after sharp sell-offs in application software and memory names. The market is also watching a widening split in payroll forecasts, ranging from 18,000 to 83,000 new jobs. That dispersion has raised the stakes for Friday’s data as traders weigh the odds of a September rate hike. St. Louis Fed President Musalem said the probability of inflation staying above target has increased and signaled support for higher rates, while the Financial Times reported that Warsh could also push for a September hike if inflation runs hot in coming weeks. Within equities, SpaceX and several space-linked names outperformed, while Western Digital, SanDisk, AppLovin and Datadog were hit hard after earnings-related disappointments. Alphabet’s $25 billion bond sale, backed by roughly $115 billion in orders, added to supply pressure in long-dated Treasuries and sharpened concerns over how AI infrastructure spending may weigh on free cash flow.








