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Anthropic
2026-10-18 09:38:54

Anthropic’s Jack Clark says U.S. GDP could reach $44 trillion by 2040 under AI-driven scenario

Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark told officials at the International Monetary Fund and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok on Oct. 17 that an AI-driven "singularity" has already begun. Citing simulations from Anthropic’s economics team, Clark said one model shows U.S. GDP could reach $44 trillion by 2040 if AI systems become capable of handling a broad range of work and spread rapidly across the economy over the next few years. He described that outcome as extreme and acknowledged that the figure sounds far-fetched, but said it follows from continued technological progress and would require new industries and inventions, particularly if AI can conduct scientific research on its own. Clark also called for countries to work together on unusually serious rules for the technology and the companies building it. He said biology research should face the strictest human oversight and transparency requirements, and warned that the window for meaningful action may be only a few years. On jobs, he said some AI-exposed roles such as customer service and call center work may shrink, while some scientific fields could see productivity gains and even more employment.

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Anthropic’s Jack Clark says U.S. GDP could reach $44 trillion by 2040 under AI-driven scenario
Donald Trump
2026-10-10 07:53:27

Poll says Trump is weighing on Republicans, with 26% of his own backers favoring a split

A poll conducted by PF Global in early October found that 26% of Donald Trump’s 2024 supporters believe Republican candidates in their districts would have a better chance of winning the November midterm elections if they broke with Trump. The survey covered 2,001 respondents and reported a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points. On policy questions, majorities of respondents said Republicans should put distance between themselves and Trump on several issues. The poll found that 57% said the party should break with him on the Iran war, 61% said Republicans should keep their distance on the economy, and 67% said they should take a different position on immigration and border control. The survey also pointed to economic strain among voters. It showed that 44% said their personal financial situation had worsened or significantly worsened since Trump took office last year, while 59% said everyday expenses such as groceries and gasoline had become harder to afford. That figure included 40% of Trump’s 2024 supporters. When asked who should receive credit if Republicans retain control of both chambers of Congress in November, only 22% pointed to Trump’s presidential record, while 29% cited weak Democratic campaigning, 23% credited Republican campaign efforts, and 26% said they were unsure.

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Poll says Trump is weighing on Republicans, with 26% of his own backers favoring a split