Labor market

AI layoffs

2026-07-08 15:34:12

AI-Linked Layoffs Surpass 90,000 Since 2025, Alliance Calls for Urgent Policy Action

More than 90,000 workers have been laid off due to AI automation since January 2025, according to The Alliance for Secure AI. The nonprofit warns that politicians are not taking the crisis seriously enough and urges immediate intervention.

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Bitcoin

2026-07-02 17:41:26

Bitcoin Breaks $62K as Weak US Jobs Data Signals Fed Policy Easing

Bitcoin surged nearly 4% on July 2, tapping $62,000 for the first time in July. The rally follows weak US labor market data, reinforcing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more accommodative inflation policy. This marks a shift in sentiment after weeks of selling pressure.

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US unemployme

2026-07-02 13:01:33

US U6 Unemployment Rate Hits 7.9% in June, Exceeding Expectations; Labor Weakness May Impact Crypto Risk Appetite

美国6月U6失业率录得7.9%，高于市场预期的6.2%，前值8.1%。该数据涵盖临时工和边缘劳动力，反映更广泛的就业不足状况。超预期读数暗示劳动力市场疲软，可能强化美联储降息预期，进而影响加密等风险资产定价。链上数据显示，市场对宏观数据的敏感度依然较高。

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Morgan Stanle

2026-06-27 00:49:08

Morgan Stanley Warns: Fed May Be Forced to Hike if Unemployment Drops Below 4% or Inflation Persists

Morgan Stanley maintained its baseline forecast that the Fed will keep rates unchanged through 2026, but issued a stark warning: if the unemployment rate falls below 4%, monthly core inflation stays at 0.3% or higher, or Middle East tensions escalate, the Fed would be forced to pivot to rate hikes. Analyst Michael Gapen noted that recent oil price declines and peaking tariff pass-through provide some comfort, but labor market and inflation data remain critical variables. Markets are closely watching upcoming employment and inflation reports to calibrate expectations under the Warsh-led Fed.

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Federal Reser

2026-06-26 00:01:23

Fed's Williams: Labor Market Shows Resilience, Inflation Must Return to 2% Target

Federal Reserve official Williams stated that the current labor market shows resilience, while emphasizing the need to bring inflation back to the 2% target. This stance reinforces the Fed's commitment to price stability, suggesting that despite strong employment data, policymakers remain focused on curbing inflation. Market participants should watch for further guidance on the interest rate path from upcoming Fed meetings.

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Federal Reser

2026-06-22 21:01:42

Fed Turns Hawkish, Wall Street Surrenders, Citigroup Stands Firm on October Rate Cut

After the Fed's hawkish FOMC meeting in June and major Wall Street firms reversing their easing expectations, Citigroup remains the last holdout, predicting the Fed's next move will be a rate cut rather than a hike, with a baseline scenario of a 25bp cut in October followed by further cuts in December and January 2027. Citigroup's three core arguments include falling oil prices, weakening labor market signals, and core PCE being an outlier.

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Fed

2026-06-22 16:01:40

Fed Turns Hawkish, Wall Street Surrenders; Citi Stays 'Last Holdout': Insists on October Rate Cut with Three Core Arguments

In the wake of the Fed's unexpected hawkish shift at the June FOMC meeting and major Wall Street firms withdrawing their easing forecasts, Citi stands firm on its contrarian view that the Fed's next move is a rate cut rather than a hike. Their baseline scenario calls for a 25bp cut in October, followed by additional cuts in December 2026 and January 2027, supported by three key arguments: falling oil prices, weakening labor market signals, and core PCE being an 'outlier'.

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US

2026-06-05 13:00:50

US May Unemployment Rate Holds Steady at 4.3%, Matching Expectations

The US unemployment rate for May came in at 4.3%, in line with both the expected and prior reading of 4.30%.

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