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AI bubble
2026-08-20 08:02:00

AI and semiconductor boom may be nearing its end, guest on PANews show warns of a potentially harsh 2027

A guest on PANews’ 168X program said he has stayed mostly in cash since cutting positions in May and June, arguing that several AI and semiconductor trades are no longer attractive at current levels. Speaking on Aug. 19, the guest, identified as "QihongF44102" and referred to in the show as an industry insider active in both AI development and markets, said Korea, Japan and A-share names tied to the theme have likely already topped out. He also argued that, outside Coding, the market still lacks a second large AI use case that can scale quickly enough to support current expectations. The discussion centered on rising pressure across the AI value chain. The guest said top AI labs face a short-term bubble risk, open-source models are advancing fast, and downstream monetization remains the key variable for whether extreme upstream margins can hold. He pointed to 86% gross margin at SK Hynix and questioned whether such levels are sustainable if application-layer profitability weakens. He also described the current cycle as closer to a real-estate-style financing structure than a replay of the 2000 bubble, with leverage, data-center buildout and expectations for sustained high growth all tightly linked. The program also touched on robotics, Neoclouds, memory names, IPO timing and crypto. The guest said humanoid robotics is unlikely to see mass adoption within five years, called leverage-heavy AI infrastructure plays the most fragile part of the trade, and said retail investors may be better off waiting in cash or buying put protection if they already hold chip exposure. His most bearish call: if no new application breakthrough appears, 2027 could be a year of large index declines.

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