Manifold
2026-08-24 10:03:05Manifold founder says early CEX-DEX arbitrage worked by going where Jump and Tower were not
Manifold founder Jae Chung says the firm’s early edge did not come from trying to beat established trading houses such as Jump, Tower, and Jane Street on their home turf. Instead, the company moved toward decentralized exchanges, where market structure, tooling, and talent requirements were different and where large firms were less aggressive at the time. Chung writes that he launched Manifold in 2021 at age 21 with no real quant background, after earlier years in crypto as a white-hat hacker, validator operator, and active participant during DeFi summer and the NFT boom. After a string of failed experiments across arbitrage, basis trades, statistical arbitrage, yield farming, and even deep learning, the team found a working path in CEX-DEX arbitrage.
According to Chung, the first prototype was a simple TypeScript-based on-chain trading system that arbitraged prices between centralized exchanges and decentralized venues across the top ten chains by liquidity. The setup was crude and not latency-sensitive, but it still captured real opportunities after fees because on-chain execution lagged off-chain price discovery. Manifold later rebuilt the stack in Go and Solidity, expanded to more chains and DEXs, cut costs through gas optimization, adapted to MEV-style priority gas auctions, and improved capital efficiency through an in-house system called Hydra. Chung says the strategy at one point generated more than $10,000 a day with only a few million dollars deployed, and could make over six figures in a single day during periods of high volatility. By late 2025, however, competition had compressed the edge sharply.