CLARITY Act Odds Drop to 15.5%; Two Traders Hold Yes Positions, Unrealized Loss of $11,800

The implied probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law by the end of 2026 has dropped to 15.5% on Polymarket, according to the latest data. Only two accounts, TwoEyes and Geminae.Columbae, remain active in both Polymarket and Hyperliquid, retaining their Yes positions despite the declining odds. Together, they hold approximately 254,600 Yes shares, worth about $39,500, with a combined unrealized loss of approximately $11,800. Both traders entered at an average cost corresponding to a 20% probability. TwoEyes holds 195,500 shares at an average cost of 20.2%, currently down $9,197; Geminae.Columbae holds 59,200 shares at 19.94%, down $2,628. The pair also maintains significant crypto long exposure elsewhere, with a combined notional size of about $19.92 million. TwoEyes has a $1.606 million BTC long and a $348,000 crude oil short. Geminae.Columbae holds long positions in BTC, ZEC, LINK, and HYPE, totaling approximately $18.317 million.