Polymarket data shows traders assigning a 64% chance that Bitcoin will reach $80,000 in September, while the probability of falling to $75,000 stands at 68.5%. With 18 days remaining until 11:59 p.m. ET on Sept. 30, pricing on the platform currently points to the downside scenario as more likely. Under the market’s rules, the contract resolves to “Yes” if any 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle records a high at or above $80,000 before the deadline. The market was created on Sept. 7, and prices before that date do not count. Bitcoin previously touched $81,265 on Sept. 4 and $80,329 on Sept. 7. Polymarket data also shows total trading volume for September price markets at $5.17 million, with roughly $1.46 million in liquidity. Bitcoin’s intraday high was $79,505, leaving it $495 short of the trigger. Odds for $90,000 and $100,000 are 8.5% and 1.75%, while the probabilities for $72,500 and $70,000 are 40.5% and 22.5%, respectively.
Polymarket data shows traders pricing a 64% chance that Bitcoin will hit $80,000 in September, while the odds of a move down to $75,000 are 68.5%.
With 18 days left until 11:59 p.m. ET on Sept. 30, market pricing currently puts the downside scenario at a higher probability.
How the $80,000 contract is resolved
Under the market’s rules, the contract resolves to “Yes” if any 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle posts a high of $80,000 or more before Sept. 30.
The market was created on Sept. 7, and any price action before creation does not count. Bitcoin reached $81,265 on Sept. 4 and $80,329 on Sept. 7.
Volume, liquidity and other price targets
Polymarket data shows total trading volume for September price events at $5.17 million, with liquidity at about $1.46 million. Bitcoin’s intraday high reached $79,505, leaving it $495 below the trigger level.
For other targets, the probability of $90,000 stands at 8.5% and $100,000 at 1.75%. On the downside, the odds of $72,500 and $70,000 are 40.5% and 22.5%, respectively.
The item was cited by Bitcoin.com News.
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