Serenity says the AI supply chain is still in a high-growth phase, with storage and packaging in focus

Serenity says the AI supply chain is still in a high-growth phase, with storage and packaging in focus

N
News Editor
2026-08-16 05:01:46
Serenity, known online as the "white-haired stock god," said on X that the AI infrastructure buildout is still driving a long expansion cycle across several parts of the supply chain, including storage, advanced packaging, compute financing, optical communications, power systems, and electronic components. In the storage segment, Serenity cited a UBS forecast saying gross margin at traditional DRAM makers such as Micron could reach an unprecedented 95% by 2027, potentially topping margins seen in HBM products. Serenity also pointed to SanDisk, saying long-term agreements already cover about two-thirds of its 2028 capacity, with minimum contracted revenue of $93 billion, against a current market capitalization of about $239 billion. On cloud infrastructure, CoreWeave has signed an agreement to keep using Nvidia A100 GPUs through 2029, which Serenity said supports newer cloud companies such as Nebius and Iren while weakening bearish arguments around rapid depreciation of older GPUs. Serenity added that growth at frontier AI labs remains extremely fast, with market expectations that Anthropic could generate $190 billion to $200 billion in revenue by 2028. At the same time, advanced packaging and semiconductor infrastructure remain major bottlenecks, with a TSMC advanced packaging executive warning that the industry could face both memory shortages and tight ABF substrate supply in the coming years.

Odaily reported that Serenity posted an AI supply chain view on X, arguing that demand for AI infrastructure is still pushing several parts of the market into a long expansion cycle. The list included storage, advanced packaging, compute financing, optical communications, power supply systems, and electronic components. In Serenity’s view, the AI supply chain remains in a rapid growth stage.

Storage remains a central bullish theme

In storage, Serenity cited a UBS forecast that gross margin at traditional DRAM makers could keep rising. Serenity said manufacturers such as Micron may see gross margin reach an unprecedented 95% in 2027, a level that could even exceed margins from HBM products.

Serenity also said SanDisk’s long-term agreements already cover about two-thirds of its 2028 production capacity. The minimum contracted revenue tied to those agreements stands at $93 billion, while the company’s current market capitalization is about $239 billion. Serenity used that comparison to argue that the company may not be easily treated as a traditional cyclical stock, as its future revenue targets could extend for years.

Cloud infrastructure names may benefit from longer GPU use

On cloud infrastructure, Serenity said CoreWeave has signed an agreement to use Nvidia A100 GPUs through 2029. According to Serenity, that is positive for newer cloud computing companies such as Nebius and Iren, and it also weakens part of the bearish case from investors who expected older GPUs to depreciate quickly.

AI model companies are still growing faster than expected

Serenity said growth at AI model companies continues to beat expectations, with frontier AI labs still expanding at a very fast pace. Serenity added that a slowdown in that growth would be the more concerning signal.

Market estimates now suggest Anthropic could reach $190 billion to $200 billion in revenue by 2028. Serenity pointed to that range as another sign that demand tied to the model layer is still climbing rather than leveling off.

Advanced packaging and semiconductor infrastructure stay constrained

At the same time, Serenity said advanced packaging and semiconductor infrastructure remain the core bottlenecks in the sector. A TSMC executive in charge of advanced packaging said the industry may face not only memory shortages in the next few years, but also tight supply of ABF substrates.

Serenity’s conclusion was that the AI infrastructure supply chain is still expanding across GPUs, memory, advanced packaging, power, optical communications, and electronic components, with long-term demand growth visible in each of those segments.

This article was originally published by Bit.Fan. For more cryptocurrency news and market insights, visit www.bit.fan.
150

Disclaimer:

The market information, project data, and third-party content displayed on this platform are for industry information sharing only and do not constitute any form of investment advice or return commitment.

Cryptocurrency trading carries high risks. Users should fully assess their risk tolerance and make independent decisions. All profits, losses, and legal responsibilities are borne by the users themselves.