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Bitwise
2026-08-14 02:02:07

Bitwise CIO says crypto valuation is shifting toward revenue as regulation changes

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan argues that the way investors value crypto assets is starting to change. For years, one of the strongest criticisms of the sector was that tokens often captured little or none of the economic value created by the underlying networks. Projects could post rapid user growth and generate billions of dollars in revenue, yet tokenholders had no clear claim on that cash flow. Hougan says that setup is now changing, and that, outside of Bitcoin, crypto assets are increasingly being judged on a metric long familiar in equities and credit markets: revenue. In his view, the shift has been helped by two developments. The first was the legal and regulatory turn that followed the SEC’s loss in the Ripple case, which weakened the assumption that any token tied to economic rights would automatically be treated as an illegal securities offering. The second was the rise of Hyperliquid, which used nearly all of its fee income to buy back and burn HYPE, showing investors a direct path from network usage to token value. Hougan points to similar moves by Uniswap, Aave, Solana, Aptos, Lighter and others. He argues that many investors still have not absorbed this change, leaving major crypto assets priced below what their revenue models may justify, while also warning that tokens still do not offer the same legally protected claims as stocks.

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Bitwise CIO says crypto valuation is shifting toward revenue as regulation changes
Bitcoin
2026-08-13 11:35:53

Strategy, Metaplanet paper losses near $10 billion put single-token treasury risk back in focus

CoinDesk’s Aug. 13 Daybook excerpt centered on the risk tied to concentrated bitcoin treasury strategies after two of the largest listed holders disclosed massive unrealized losses. Tokyo-listed Metaplanet said its 43,000 BTC position carried a $1.5 billion paper loss as of the end of June, while Strategy, described as the world’s largest public digital asset treasury company, reported a comparable $8.2 billion unrealized loss last month. Together, the two figures come to nearly $10 billion. CoinDesk framed that amount by saying a hypothetical token representing those losses would rank as the 11th-largest digital asset by market capitalization, behind DOGE and ahead of ONDO, ZEC and AAVE. The report said the figures highlight both bitcoin’s growing financialization and the risk of concentrating exposure in a single token, especially as many digital asset treasury firms have relied on debt issuance to fund BTC purchases. Even so, the market has not shown obvious concern so far, with bitcoin holding in a $62,000 to $66,000 range for weeks and trading mostly below $64,000 during the session discussed in the report. Analysts cited by CoinDesk remained divided between technical optimism and macro-driven positioning ahead of Jackson Hole and upcoming economic data.

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Strategy, Metaplanet paper losses near $10 billion put single-token treasury risk back in focus
Bitwise
2026-08-13 06:50:15

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says DeFi token buybacks could leave many crypto assets worth at least twice as much

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan argued in an Aug. 13 analysis that decentralized finance is moving into a phase where protocol revenue is increasingly routed back to token holders through buybacks or burns. In his view, that shift is turning non-Bitcoin crypto assets into a yield-driven market, while public valuations still fail to reflect the change. Hougan pointed to five protocols already using versions of that model: Hyperliquid, Uniswap, Aave, Pump.fun and Lighter. He cited Hyperliquid’s reported revenue of more than $800 million in 2025, with about 99% used to buy back and burn HYPE, and said Aave’s DAO had acquired more than 205,000 AAVE in its first 10 months under a buyback plan. He also referenced Uniswap’s protocol fee activation through the “UNIfication” proposal and Aave founder Stani Kulechov’s statement that 100% of revenue from the Aave protocol and GHO stablecoin would go toward AAVE. Hougan said looser U.S. regulation after 2025 is helping these models spread, though he also flagged key limits: token holders do not have a legal claim on cash flows, and governance can always change the token economic design. He added that over the next 12 to 24 months, similar mechanisms could spread across DeFi applications and Layer 1 networks, with institutional products such as ETFs and structured products becoming more willing to allocate if governance remains transparent and predictable.

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Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says DeFi token buybacks could leave many crypto assets worth at least twice as much
Market Analys
2026-08-12 01:52:22

Lao Bai says crypto VC will fade, prediction markets are overvalued, and Perp DEXs still have room beyond Hyperliquid

In a nearly two-hour conversation hosted by 168X, investor and researcher Lao Bai laid out a broad thesis on where crypto stands in 2026 and where it may be headed next. His core view is blunt: the crypto industry has matured, token issuance works more like debt than financing, and the label "crypto VC" is likely to disappear over time as blockchain becomes part of the broader commercial stack rather than a standalone sector. Lao Bai, whose past roles include Amber, ABCDE and OKX Ventures, said his focus inside crypto has narrowed to a handful of sectors he still sees as having product-market fit: perpetuals, prediction markets, real-world assets and stablecoins. Even there, he drew sharp distinctions. Stablecoins and perpetual contracts, he argued, are crypto’s two strongest native inventions. Prediction markets, by contrast, do have real PMF but a much lower ceiling than perpetual trading. He also discussed Hyperliquid’s lead in Perp DEXs, the competitive setup around HIP-3 deployers such as TradeXYZ and Paragon, why security issues often stem from lending rather than pure perpetual products, and why exchanges are increasingly competing not just with Binance or OKX but with Robinhood, Interactive Brokers and even banks. His conclusion was equally direct: the endgame for exchanges is to become a single global gateway for risk assets.

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Lao Bai says crypto VC will fade, prediction markets are overvalued, and Perp DEXs still have room beyond Hyperliquid
ChainFeeds
2026-08-11 02:26:40

ChainFeeds roundup tracks Bitcoin’s BIP-110 split, Pump-FOMO rivalry, and Robinhood Chain’s meme-led launch

ChainFeeds’ Aug. 11 research roundup brought together five separate market and policy discussions that are shaping current crypto debate. The package led with the fallout from Bitcoin’s BIP-110, where nodes enforcing the proposal began rejecting blocks without bit 4 signaling even though support in the prior 2,016-block window was only 51 blocks, or 2.53%. The result was a chain split, with the higher-work main chain moving ahead while the BIP-110 branch lagged. The report also reviewed the competitive battle between Pump and FOMO over the social trading interface, arguing that the real contest is not token issuance alone but control over discovery, amplification, distribution, and execution. A separate Bitcoin market note focused on ETF flows, hash rate, node distribution, MVRV, the 200-week moving average, and three portfolio approaches ranging from dollar-cost averaging to options hedging. On Ethereum, ChainFeeds highlighted a debate around EIP-8363 and whether staking rewards should eventually rely only on execution-layer revenue once network staking surpasses 50%. The final section examined Robinhood Chain, which generated $3.6 million in REV in July and out-earned several established Layer 2 networks, though early activity was dominated by meme coin trading rather than RWA usage.

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ChainFeeds roundup tracks Bitcoin’s BIP-110 split, Pump-FOMO rivalry, and Robinhood Chain’s meme-led launch
Policy Regula
2026-08-08 02:36:52

ChainFeeds research roundup tracks the CLARITY Act, Asia prediction market rules, and opposition to EIP-8363

ChainFeeds’ Aug. 8 research roundup brings together five separate discussions shaping the digital-asset policy and infrastructure debate. One piece, citing a16z, argues that the proposed CLARITY Act is needed to draw a workable line between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, replacing years of case-by-case enforcement with a clearer market structure for digital assets. Another, from Tiger Research, says Asia’s prediction market problem is less about demand and more about legal classification, with current gambling and financial-product regimes both failing to provide a usable framework. The roundup also highlights Joseph Chalom’s case against EIP-8363, which he says could weaken DeFi, erode ETH’s yield advantage, and raise the cost of onchain capital. A separate report from TechFlow examines the pull of AI on crypto’s technical talent, pointing to declining GitHub activity across major ecosystems and to cases where AI tools rapidly identified code vulnerabilities. The final piece from Odaily reviews Robinhood’s listing of CashCat and the growth of Robinhood Chain, including tokenized stock access in more than 120 countries and regions, new-address inflows, and activity linked to Uniswap’s Pools.trade launch.

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ChainFeeds research roundup tracks the CLARITY Act, Asia prediction market rules, and opposition to EIP-8363
Robinhood
2026-08-07 08:52:17

Robinhood Lists CashCat as Native Robinhood Chain Meme Token Draws Market Attention

Robinhood has listed CashCat, a native meme token from the Robinhood Chain ecosystem, in a move that the original report frames as more than a routine token addition. CashCat, based on a crying cat meme and tied to Robinhood’s own early mascot history, briefly pushed past a $200 million market capitalization and posted gains of more than 80% over 24 hours, according to the article. The listing is described as a sign that Robinhood is beginning to open its main platform to projects born inside its own chain ecosystem. The report argues that CashCat stands out from earlier meme coin listings on Robinhood because of its symbolic role in the company’s identity, its meme-native branding, and its position as the first breakout meme token on Robinhood Chain. It also links the move to comments made by CEO Vlad Tenev on the company’s second-quarter earnings call, where he said Robinhood Chain was built for real-world assets while also making clear that he likes memes. The article also points to fast early growth on Robinhood Chain, including billions of dollars in DEX volume, record transaction counts, rising TVL and stablecoin supply, and a user base that appears to include a large share of first-time or incremental crypto participants. It further highlights Uniswap’s launch of Pools.trade on the chain as another sign that competition and token issuance activity are accelerating inside the ecosystem.

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Robinhood Lists CashCat as Native Robinhood Chain Meme Token Draws Market Attention
MEV
2026-08-07 07:15:04

Greenfield says MEV now accounts for 66%-80% of Ethereum priority-fee spending as wallet rebates reshape incentives

Greenfield Capital’s latest on-chain study of Ethereum’s block-building market says MEV-related strategies have overtaken Telegram trading bots as the largest source of priority-fee spending, now accounting for roughly 66% to 80% of weekly outlays. The report argues that this is not just a rotation in order flow. It reflects a broader rewrite of how value is created, routed and captured across Ethereum’s block-production stack. The study also points to a second shift at the wallet layer. Greenfield says rebate structures tied to order flow auctions, or OFAs, may be pushing users to tolerate materially higher priority fees than before. MetaMask users, for example, are estimated to have gone from paying about $0.15 in average priority fees per transaction in early 2024 to around $1.20, while GMGN users are paying more than $2.10 on average. Because these rebates are often settled later and off-chain, the report says observed on-chain fees may represent an upper bound on what users are effectively paying. Greenfield breaks MEV into three major categories — statistical arbitrage, sandwiching and atomic arbitrage — and finds distinct market structures in each. Wintermute and jaredfromsubway remain central players in statistical arbitrage and sandwiching, while atomic arbitrage appears far more fragmented. The firm says the findings are based entirely on public on-chain data accessed through Dune Analytics and do not constitute investment advice.

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Greenfield says MEV now accounts for 66%-80% of Ethereum priority-fee spending as wallet rebates reshape incentives