Morgan Stanley Keeps Equal-Weight on CoreWeave as Record 500MW Capacity Buildout Meets Debt and Customer Concentration Risks
Morgan Stanley maintained an Equal-weight rating and a $99 price target on CoreWeave in its August review of the company’s second-quarter results, arguing that the GPU cloud provider is executing quickly in GenAI data center buildout but still faces valuation constraints from heavy leverage and concentrated customer exposure. In Q2, CoreWeave added 500MW of net active power, its largest quarterly increase on record and more than triple the year-earlier level, while management reiterated a goal of reaching at least 8GW by 2030. The company also raised guidance across capital spending, revenue and ARR, with FY26 revenue guidance moving to $12.4 billion-$13.2 billion and ARR guidance to $18.5 billion-$19.5 billion. Morgan Stanley pointed to Managed Inference ARR rising from $1 million to more than $100 million, with at least $250 million expected by year-end, as a sign that CoreWeave is extending beyond infrastructure rental into higher-margin software services. Even so, the bank said margin durability remains in question, free cash flow is expected to stay negative through 2028, and debt could reach about $38 billion by the end of 2026.








