Polymarket odds for four 2026 Fields Medal picks climb above 98%
PPP, a prediction-market tracking tool, showed that Polymarket contracts tied to four mathematicians winning the 2026 Fields Medal have all surged over the past week and now trade above 98%. The names cited are Deng Yu, Wang Hong, John Pardon and Jacob Tsimerman. The 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians is scheduled to open on July 23 in Philadelphia, where the Fields Medal and several other prizes are set to be announced. Recent online discussion has pointed to the ICM 2026 website schedule’s front-end code as a possible source of clues about the winners, but the reported list has not been officially confirmed. If Deng Yu and Wang Hong do ultimately receive the prize, it would mark the first time mathematicians of Chinese nationality have won the Fields Medal.








