Bitcoin Faces Heavy Selling Near $82,000, but Short Volatility Positions Could Turn Into Buyers
Bitcoin has been trading around the $78,000 to $80,000 range, with the $82,000 to $83,000 area standing out as a key resistance zone. Yet the more important force may sit outside spot market flows. According to Two Prime founder and CEO Alexander Blume, institutional investors had previously sold BTC call options aggressively, pushing implied volatility down to unusually low levels. If Bitcoin rallies quickly again, those same traders may need to buy back options or add hedges, creating fresh demand instead of supply. Blume said BTC implied volatility had fallen to roughly 23% to 24% in August before rebounding to around 40% during the recent recovery. Deribit data showed at-the-money implied volatility at about 34.9% for Sept. 10 expiry, 36.2% for Sept. 11, 39.4% for Sept. 18, and around 40% by late December. CryptoGamma also estimated on Sept. 8 that implied volatility was 39.6% versus realized volatility of 34.2%, a gap of about 5.4 percentage points. The report also highlighted a separate market shift among miners. MARA disclosed in an SEC filing that on Aug. 4 it entered Bitcoin-backed loan arrangements with Coinbase and Two Prime, raising a combined $600 million against 18,750 BTC initially valued at about $1.2 billion. The structure may reduce immediate spot selling, though it also introduces margin call and liquidation risk if BTC collateral falls below required thresholds.








