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HSBC
2026-08-20 08:32:50

HSBC says Starlink and Starship are already feeding space-economy gains back into industries on Earth

HSBC said in an Aug. 18 cross-sector report that the most urgent value of the space economy is not asteroid mining or Mars colonization, but the way it is already reshaping industries on Earth. The report, led by HSBC Global Equity Research Co-Head Raj Sinha, spans 12 sectors including telecoms, semiconductors, power, industrials, agriculture, insurance and finance. According to the report, SpaceX’s satellite internet business had 10,200 satellites in orbit and 12 million broadband users as of June 30, 2026, covering 167 markets. Another 7.4 million monthly active devices used Direct to Cell service across 30 countries. HSBC argues that satellite connectivity has moved beyond a backup option for remote areas and is becoming default infrastructure in shipping, aviation and trucking. The bank also sees Starlink’s relationship with terrestrial telecom operators as largely complementary, pointing to deals with T-Mobile, KDDI and Airtel Africa. HSBC also highlighted launch economics. Falcon 9 low-earth-orbit launch costs were cited at $2,940 per kilogram, Falcon Heavy at $1,520, while Starship is targeting $100 to $300 per kilogram. The bank said those cost declines are forcing a rethink of satellite manufacturing, orbital data centers and asteroid-mining models. In HSBC’s view, power, semiconductors and robotics are the three sectors seeing the clearest and most immediate impact.

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HSBC says Starlink and Starship are already feeding space-economy gains back into industries on Earth
SpaceX
2026-08-06 09:57:08

Bernstein Keeps $239 Target on SpaceX After First Public Earnings, With AI Pricing and Starship Execution at the Center

SpaceX’s first quarterly report as a public company gave investors a sharper look at what is driving the stock — and what is still holding it back. The company reported $7.814 billion in second-quarter revenue, up 92% from a year earlier, beating consensus estimates cited by both S&P Visible Alpha and Bernstein. Diluted loss per share came in at $0.09, better than the expected $0.24 loss, while combined operating loss across its three business segments narrowed to $143 million. Bernstein kept its Outperform rating and $239 price target after the August 4 results, implying roughly 91% upside based on the stock’s $125.33 close that day. But the firm’s valuation is not built on Elon Musk’s full vision. Bernstein still models 2031 revenue at $554 billion, well below management’s $1 trillion target, and assumes long-term AI compute pricing falls back to about $10 per watt rather than the $30 to $50 per watt range Musk referenced. The report argues that SpaceX’s investment case rests on three separate pillars. Connectivity, led by Starlink, supplies the current profit base. AI compute drives revenue upside but requires heavy capital spending. Starship determines whether long-term scale can be achieved at meaningfully lower cost through full reusability. Those questions remained in focus as the stock fell to $108.27 on August 5, down 13.6% in a single session.

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Bernstein Keeps $239 Target on SpaceX After First Public Earnings, With AI Pricing and Starship Execution at the Center
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SpaceX
2026-08-05 02:48:27

SpaceX’s First Post-IPO Earnings Top Estimates as Starlink Carries Profit, AI Losses Narrow

SpaceX reported its first quarterly results since listing, and the headline numbers came in well ahead of market expectations. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue rose 92% year over year to about $7.8 billion, while adjusted EBITDA climbed roughly 192% to $3.5 billion. Net loss narrowed to about $541 million from around $1 billion a year earlier. Starlink remained the company’s main earnings engine, with the connectivity segment posting $4.29 billion in revenue and $1.66 billion in operating profit as users doubled to 12 million. The AI unit delivered one of the quarter’s biggest surprises. Revenue jumped about 247% to $2.56 billion, and operating loss narrowed to $1.26 billion, much lower than analysts had expected. Even so, AI spending stayed elevated. The company said AI capital expenditures were about $15.8 billion in the quarter, above expectations, and executives told investors that total capex in the third and fourth quarters would stay roughly in line with the second quarter. SpaceX also highlighted more than $6 billion in multi-year U.S. government contracts tied to Starshield, underscoring the growing weight of defense-related demand. Still, the stock failed to hold gains after the report. Shares had closed up 9.4% before earnings, then swung lower in after-hours trading and were at one point down nearly 9%, as investors focused on valuation, lock-up concerns, persistent losses outside Starlink, and the company’s still-heavy cash burn.

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SpaceX’s First Post-IPO Earnings Top Estimates as Starlink Carries Profit, AI Losses Narrow
SpaceX earnings debut puts Starship timeline ahead of near-term losses
SpaceX heads into its first quarterly report with AI spending, Starlink growth and lockup expirations in focus