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Bank of Engla
2026-09-15 17:53:04

BoE official says stablecoin growth could strengthen the dollar and lift US Treasury demand

A Bank of England policymaker said the expansion of dollar-backed stablecoins could extend the reach of the US currency and turn major issuers into even larger buyers of government debt. Carolyn Wilkins, a member of the Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee, said in a speech at Queen’s University Belfast that dollar-denominated stablecoins may reinforce the greenback’s global position by making cross-border settlement easier, broadening access to dollar-linked assets outside the United States, and increasing demand for Treasurys held as reserves. Wilkins also warned that the link runs both ways. If redemptions reached sufficient scale, stablecoin issuers could be forced to sell Treasury bills, which could intensify swings in an already stressed market. She cited data showing that Tether’s USDt and Circle’s USDC held nearly $150 billion in Treasury bills at the end of 2025 and bought about $33 billion during the year. Her comments come as stablecoin circulation has climbed above $300 billion, with 98% of the market tied to the US dollar. Wilkins said that gives the currency a considerable first-mover advantage. She contrasted that with pound-denominated stablecoins, which have gained traction more slowly even as UK regulators this year launched a dedicated sandbox, finalized issuance rules in June, and tested how stablecoins and a simulated digital pound could work together in cross-border trade payments.

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BoE official says stablecoin growth could strengthen the dollar and lift US Treasury demand
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Federal Reser
2026-09-14 04:03:16

Citi warns of a possible 1989-style Fed hiking path as asset allocation shifts toward the dollar and energy

Citi Research says the current macro backdrop is looking increasingly similar to the Federal Reserve’s 1988-1989 tightening cycle, a period when the fed funds rate rose from 6.75% to 9.8125% across 16 rate hikes. According to the report cited in the source material, the overlap now lies in a combination of economic resilience and building inflation pressure, with growth and inflation measures both running slightly above long-term averages. Citi’s regime work still places the broader environment in a "Normal" bucket, but says stronger inflation momentum, a modest pullback in economic surprise data, and slightly tighter financial conditions are pushing historical analogs closer to 1988-1989. The report also lays out clear cross-asset positioning. Citi said it is adding to risk assets while favoring emerging-market and U.S. equities, long duration in Japan and the U.K., the maximum short in U.S. investment-grade credit, an energy-led commodities exposure, and a renewed preference for the U.S. dollar. In rates, the model shows an overall 3.7% bond overweight, with the largest long positions in Japanese and British duration and the largest short in U.S. Treasuries. In commodities, energy is described as the strongest expected performer. In foreign exchange, expected Sharpe ratios for GBP, JPY, and EUR versus the dollar are all negative, leaving the dollar as the preferred currency.

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Citi warns of a possible 1989-style Fed hiking path as asset allocation shifts toward the dollar and energy
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