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Morgan Stanle
2026-09-22 06:31:00

Morgan Stanley says storage is still early-cycle, servers lag behind, and PCs are deteriorating fast

Morgan Stanley said in a Sept. 21 IT hardware report that enterprise hardware spending stayed strong in the second quarter, with traditional server revenue up 87% year over year, storage up 34%, and PC revenue up 14%, each at their fastest pace in more than a decade outside the pandemic period. The firm’s main call is that storage remains in the early stage of an upward cycle, the server cycle is later, and the PC opportunity has already worsened quickly. It said the market is now looking past the recent strength and focusing on how long the cycle can last, noting that six of eight enterprise hardware OEM, VAR, and distributor stocks traded at lower valuation multiples after earnings even though next-fiscal-year EPS estimates were revised up by an average of 12%. Among names under coverage, Morgan Stanley said its top picks are P and SNX, followed by HPE. It kept Dell at Equal-weight despite raising its price target to $511 from $499, arguing that strong execution is already reflected in valuation and that late-cycle earnings durability is less clear. It reiterated Overweight on P with a $119 target and highlighted Sept. 23 analyst day as a key event. It also kept Underweight on HPQ with a $19 target, citing pressure from weakening PC demand and margins. The report flagged a heavy catalyst calendar stretching from Dell’s Sept. 22 COO meeting through early-October IDC PC data and Taiwan ODM monthly revenue disclosures.

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Morgan Stanley says storage is still early-cycle, servers lag behind, and PCs are deteriorating fast
Morgan Stanley says enterprise hardware spending stayed strong in Q2, with storage still early in the cycle
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