xm39

Macro Trading

2026-09-11 09:36:23

Trader xm39 builds Nasdaq short to $31.7 million ahead of CPI

Macro trader xm39 added to a Nasdaq short ahead of the latest CPI release, according to TradingBeats data cited by BlockBeats on Sept. 11. Over the past hour, the account opened roughly 660.61 additional XYZ100 short contracts, with notional turnover of about $19.34 million. Including trades from earlier in the day, the trader’s newly added Nasdaq short exposure for the day reached about $21.35 million. The current XYZ100 short position stands at about $31.70 million, with an average entry price of 29,245.2 and an unrealized loss of around $31,200. The account also holds a crude oil short worth about $41.15 million. On Polymarket, xm39 separately spent about $1,949 on Sept. 11 to add around 13,000 "Yes" shares in the market titled "U.S. invades Iran before 2027." That brought the total position to 857,800 shares. Based on the average cost, the implied probability is 18.47%, versus a current market level of 15.5%. The position is valued at about $133,000, with an unrealized loss of roughly $25,500. BlockBeats also referenced an earlier report on changes in xm39’s positioning ahead of CPI.

870

whale

2026-09-08 05:36:25

Whale xm39 Adds $19.75M in Crude Oil Long Positions, Floating Profit $383K, While Prediction Market Bet on Iran Invasion Stays in Red

Whale xm39 increased its WTI crude oil long positions by 214,800 contracts on September 7, with a notional value of approximately $19.75 million, expanding its total long position to 386,200 contracts worth $35.885 million. The average entry price is $91.93, yielding a floating profit of $383,000. Meanwhile, xm39 holds 844,800 'US invades Iran by 2027' Yes shares on Polymarket, with an implied probability of 14.5%, down from an average cost of 18.53%, resulting in a floating loss of $34,100. Brown University estimates that U.S. consumers have incurred about $100 billion in additional gasoline and diesel costs due to the Iran conflict.

970

Whale Movemen

2026-09-01 03:09:23

Whale trader xm39 boosts WTI crude long to $29.52 million while adding to Iran event bet

A Hyperliquid-linked address tied to trader xm39 significantly increased its long position in WTI crude during overnight trading on Sept. 1, booking about $159,100 in realized profit through a series of roll trades. After the adjustments, the position rose to 340,400 contracts, a net increase of 259,100 contracts from before the trades, or roughly 319% higher. At the time of publication, the WTI position was valued at about $29.52 million. The trade was opened under 20x cross leverage, with an average entry price of $85.649, an unrealized profit of about $364,500, and a liquidation price of $82.611. The address had also placed two stop-loss protection orders: 50,000 contracts to trigger if price falls below $84.65, and another 25,000 contracts below $84.02, covering about 22% of the current position. Hours before the crude roll, xm39 also bought "Yes" shares on Polymarket three times in the market for whether the United States will invade Iran before 2027. The trader spent $41,700 in total to add 274,500 shares at an average execution price of 15.20%. xm39 now holds 723,900 "Yes" shares valued at about $112,200. With the event’s implied probability at 15.5%, below the trader’s overall cost of 19.24%, the position was showing an unrealized loss of about $27,100.

880

xm39

2026-08-24 02:45:00

xm39 expands long-oil, short-Nasdaq trade to $48.2 million, cumulative profit nears $980,000

Trader xm39 has continued to scale up a long crude oil and short Nasdaq strategy, according to xm39 monitoring data cited by Odaily. Since a major portfolio adjustment on Aug. 17, the combined size of the two positions on Hyperliquid has risen from about $17.606 million to $48.209 million, an increase of roughly $30.6 million, or 173.8%. The WTI long position grew from $7.299 million to $12.833 million, with about $5.069 million bought during the period. After WTI fell 1.5% today, xm39 added another $1.561 million at an average price of $85.38. The blended entry price now stands at $81.80, and the position is showing an unrealized profit of about $535,000. The Nasdaq short position climbed from about $10.307 million to $35.376 million, with net exposure increasing by about $25.529 million. That position is currently up about $195,000, while repeated rebalancing generated another $250,000 in realized profit. Combined unrealized profit across both positions is about $730,000, and total profit for this round of the trade is close to $980,000 after realized gains are included. xm39 has also placed about $10.6 million in take-profit orders between $89.39 and $90.42. At the same time, the account remains in a losing war-related bet on Polymarket, holding 1.5654 million Yes shares on 「The U.S. will invade Iran before 2027」 after spending about $364,600. The position is down about $106,300, with a return of -29.1%, and has increased by about 254,000 shares since the previous update.

1030

Polymarket

2026-08-10 09:52:29

xm39 Stays With Iran Invasion Bet as Polymarket Position Falls 40%, Rebuilds Nearly $7 Million WTI Long

TradingBeats data shows Polymarket trader xm39 remains committed to a "Yes" position on the contract asking whether the United States will invade Iran before 2027, even as the trade is deeply underwater. The position has grown to 1.0992 million shares with a total cost of about $286,200 and an average entry price of 26.03 cents. With the contract trading at 15.5 cents, the position is now worth roughly $170,400, leaving an unrealized loss of about $115,800, or 40.47%. Since BlockBeats last tracked the wallet on Aug. 3, xm39 added around 161,500 shares and put in another $31,500, while the unrealized loss expanded by about $53,300. No new prediction-market trades were seen today. At the same time, the trader reopened a large WTI crude oil long on Hyperliquid. By noon, xm39 had bought 88,000 CL contracts across 873 fills for about $6.9127 million at $78.54. At publication, the position was held at 20x cross margin, showing an unrealized profit of about $15,700, a return of about 4.53%, and a liquidation price of $75.75. The wallet also added to a short in XYZ100, bringing the combined notional value of the two derivatives positions to about $9.3259 million.

1770

Whale Trackin

2026-08-03 06:11:57

Trader xm39 Exits Crude Before Selloff, Then Rebuilds a $10 Million Long

Hyperinsight data shows that prediction-market trader "xm39" closed out 82,700 crude oil (CL) longs on Hyperliquid on July 31 at an average exit price of $83.52, booking about $97,000 in profit on roughly $6.904 million in turnover. The address then stayed out of crude for two days, a timing that came about one day before signs of easing geopolitical tensions emerged. After Trump said he had halted a planned strike on Iran and wanted to resume talks on issues including reopening the Strait of Hormuz, WTI crude briefly fell more than 9% to $80 during Asian trading, a three-week low. Based on the earlier exit, the trader avoided about $317,000 in additional mark-to-market drawdown. Not long after the news, xm39 rebuilt the long position in two steps, first buying 38,400 contracts at an average of $81.08 and later adding 86,700 at $79.93. At publication, the address held a 20x cross-margin long of 125,100 crude contracts worth about $9.97 million, with a blended entry of $80.28, an unrealized loss of about $75,000, and a liquidation price of $78.12. A Polymarket wallet controlled by the same entity also added to a "Yes" bet that the U.S. will invade Iran before 2027.

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