Federal Reserve officials struck a hawkish tone again, pushing markets to treat the upcoming U.S. July CPI report as the main input for September rate pricing. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said fast-rising prices remain the biggest economic problem, while Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said multiple rate hikes may be needed to bring inflation back to the 2% target. CME data shows expectations for a September hold and a hike are roughly balanced. Geopolitical pressure is also building. Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved after Iranian Supreme National Security Council Secretary Rezaei said the waterway would not reopen unless the U.S. accepts ceasefire conditions including asset unfreezing and an end to related regional fighting. In parallel, the U.S. military fired missiles in the Gulf of Oman at a Panama-flagged cargo ship heading to an Iranian port, while Houthi attacks in the Bab el-Mandeb targeted Saudi and Egyptian vessels and caused crew deaths. Across markets, oil stayed supported, major U.S. indexes fell, and crypto traded under pressure. BTC slipped below $64,000, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded another day of net outflows, and leveraged liquidations skewed heavily toward longs. Nvidia, meanwhile, saw some concern ease after Jensen Huang clarified the company’s role in a previously misunderstood compute financing plan.

Bitget UEX’s Aug. 11 market report said investors are heading into a week dominated by inflation data after a weaker-than-expected July nonfarm payrolls print lowered near-term rate hike expectations. That shift is now being challenged by a jump in oil prices linked to renewed uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz. The report said Donald Trump claimed the U.S. Navy has “100% control” of the waterway, described the blockade as “impeccable” and “like an iron wall,” and said mines had been cleared across the entire strait. Iran, meanwhile, reiterated its conditions for reopening and said an agreement with Oman on a new route was close. Against that backdrop, U.S. equities pulled back modestly on Monday, with pressure concentrated in parts of big tech. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all closed lower, while Nvidia and Apple lagged and Microsoft and Amazon held up better. In crypto, BTC slipped to around $64,037, total market capitalization stood near $2.27 trillion, and 24-hour dynamic net flows for spot BTC ETFs showed a $91 million outflow. The report also flagged SEC rulemaking discussions on crypto investment contracts, a 1,275 BTC whale transfer, comments from Strategy CEO Phong Le, Bitwise’s Ryan Rasmussen, BlackRock’s Robert Mitchnick, and a roughly $7 billion OpenAI employee share sale. CPI, PPI and actual shipping progress through Hormuz are listed as the key events to watch this week.

Markets are heading into a busy week after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data last week cooled rate-hike expectations. The main focus now shifts to Wednesday’s release of July CPI and core CPI data, followed by July PPI, both of which are expected to offer fresh signals on the Federal Reserve’s next steps. Corporate earnings are also in focus, with optical module names Lumentum and Coherent, AI infrastructure company CoreWeave, Cisco, and Applied Materials all set to report or host earnings calls as the semiconductor earnings season nears its end. Beyond inflation and earnings, investors are also watching the Bank of Japan’s July policy meeting summary, weekly ADP employment data, EIA crude inventories, U.S. jobless claims, retail sales, and preliminary August University of Michigan consumer sentiment and one-year inflation expectations. The week’s calendar combines macro data, central bank communication, and earnings from companies tied to AI computing infrastructure and semiconductors.

Markets head into the new week with inflation data back at the center of the Federal Reserve debate after a sharp repricing in rate expectations. Over the past week, signs that shipping could resume through the Strait of Hormuz helped push oil prices sharply lower. At the same time, weaker-than-expected US July nonfarm payrolls and downward revisions to the prior two months drove the market-implied probability of a September Fed rate hike down from about 55% to 44%. That shift coincided with the biggest weekly gains for the three major US stock indexes since mid-April, while spot gold climbed above $4,370 an ounce. The coming week now turns on US inflation readings, with July CPI and core CPI due Wednesday, followed by PPI on Thursday and retail sales plus the University of Michigan consumer sentiment data on Friday. Investors are also tracking the final stretch of the semiconductor earnings season and AI-linked names. Upcoming reports from Applied Materials, Cisco and CoreWeave are among the releases in focus. BlockBeats said market participants will keep watching remarks from Fed officials ahead of Jackson Hole, as internal divisions at the central bank remain and Chair Warsh has stayed silent.

Federal Reserve official Barkin said on the topic of inflation that if headwinds are faced, policy must be tightened. He agreed with Fed Chair Warsh's view that inflation must return to target levels. Barkin described corporate profits as quite strong and growth as good, while warning that the world may be entering a more unstable period. He also said the Federal Reserve will keep inflation at 2%. The remarks were reported by Jinshi. The statement contains several clear points: a tightening condition tied to headwinds; agreement with Warsh on the inflation target; an assessment of corporate profits as quite strong; a view that growth is good; a warning about a possibly more unstable world; and a 2% inflation objective. Barkin's comments, as reported, do not cover other policy tools or timing. The source is Jinshi, and the speaker is Barkin. The inflation level cited is 2%. Warsh's position, which Barkin endorsed, is that inflation must return to target. The item is brief, and the central condition is straightforward: if headwinds emerge, tighter policy is required.

The U.S. July nonfarm payrolls report is due later today, with consensus centered on roughly 80,000 new jobs but forecasts spread across an unusually wide range, from 40,000 to 157,000. Goldman Sachs expects 75,000, while Vanguard sees only 18,000, arguing that spring labor data may have been flattered by weather effects, World Cup-related hiring, and early local government recruitment. ADP private payrolls, which rose just 44,000, have added to downside concerns. A major backdrop for the release is the recent pattern of weak July payroll prints. Goldman said that over the past three years, July job growth has come in an average of 66,000 below the then-prevailing three-month average and 35,000 below consensus, often alongside sizable downward revisions to prior months. At the same time, some indicators still offer support, including low layoff readings, lower jobless claims during the Bureau of Labor Statistics survey window, and signs of recovery in government hiring. Markets are also focused on the unemployment rate, labor-force participation, and wages because of their implications for Federal Reserve policy. A stronger report could reinforce expectations that rates stay high for longer, while a softer print could revive pricing for a gentler easing path.

Bitget UEX’s Aug. 6 market note tracked a session defined by sharp cross-asset divergence. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at another record high, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 retreated, reflecting continued separation inside U.S. equities. Spot gold climbed to about $4,283 an ounce and moved closer to the $4,300 mark as safe-haven demand and a softer dollar outweighed the effect of lower oil prices. In commodities, markets focused on developments around the Strait of Hormuz after Iran and Oman said they had agreed on geographic coordinates for a new commercial shipping route, though Tehran stressed that this did not mean an immediate return to safe passage. In crypto, BTC traded around $64,100 and ETH around $1,909, with total market capitalization at roughly $2.29 trillion. Bitcoin spot ETFs posted a net inflow of $212 million the previous day and a dynamic net inflow of $47 million on the day, while total liquidations over 24 hours reached about $252 million. The report also highlighted growing attention on SpaceX, which is set for its first large-scale post-listing share unlock, and on U.S. macro data including jobless claims and nonfarm payrolls. Among single names, SanDisk fell in after-hours trading despite strong quarterly results because guidance missed elevated expectations, Nvidia rose after SpaceX said future AI services would run exclusively on its Vera Rubin architecture, and Alphabet dropped following a major AI leadership reshuffle.

Bitget UEX’s Aug. 5 market note tracked a broad cross-asset move driven by easing geopolitical expectations and softer rate pressure. CME FedWatch data showed the probability of no rate change by September rising to 41.6%, while the chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike fell to 58.4%. At the same time, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said an agreement tied to the Strait of Hormuz could be reached on Aug. 4 or 5, helping keep pressure on crude prices and easing near-term inflation concerns. U.S. equities extended their rally, with the Dow closing at 54,085.88, up 1.71%, and the S&P 500 at 7,736.52, up 1.79%, both at record highs. The Nasdaq rose 2.59% to 26,584.99. Palantir stood out after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and raising full-year guidance, while Intel, AMD, Micron and SanDisk also advanced as semiconductor and storage shares rebounded. In crypto, BTC was quoted around $639,850, up 0.91%, while ETH traded near $1,863, up 0.65%. Total crypto market capitalization was about $2.28 trillion, with 24-hour liquidations at $204 million. The report also highlighted spot BTC ETF flows, Glassnode supply concentration around the $61,000-$63,000 area, and a packed macro and earnings calendar featuring SanDisk, Western Digital, Circle and upcoming U.S. labor data.