1789 Capital Plans Another $300 Million for Polymarket, Pushing Valuation Toward $21 Billion
The Wall Street Journal reported that 1789 Capital, the investment firm where Donald Trump Jr. serves as a partner, is preparing to invest about $300 million more into prediction market platform Polymarket. The check would be part of a new funding round of roughly $1 billion led by 1789 Capital. If the deal closes, Polymarket is expected to reach a valuation of about $21 billion. The firm has already invested about $200 million in Polymarket and, after this round, is expected to become one of the company’s largest shareholders. The development puts fresh attention on both sides of the deal. On one side is 1789 Capital, a fund launched in October 2022 by Omeed Malik, Rebekah Mercer, and Chris Buskirk, and later joined by Donald Trump Jr. after the 2024 election. On the other is Polymarket, whose valuation has climbed in step with regulatory shifts, strategic acquisitions, and backing from major investors including Intercontinental Exchange. At the same time, questions remain over Polymarket’s economics. Revenue estimates from Sacra and DefiLlama differ sharply, and competition in prediction markets has intensified as Kalshi, brokerages, centralized exchanges, and on-chain protocols expand their own offerings. Even after regaining a compliant path into the U.S., Polymarket still appears to draw most of its fees and trading activity from international users.








