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Elizabeth Warren

TD Securities puts the odds of the Crypto Clarity Act passing this fall at 25%
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Clarity Act
2026-08-08 04:14:42

Clarity Act vote slips to September as partisan fight in Washington stalls crypto market structure bill

The U.S. Senate has pushed a vote on the Clarity Act to September, leaving the bill short of a floor vote before Congress begins its summer recess from Aug. 10 to Sept. 11. The delay extends uncertainty around a proposal designed to set a clearer legal framework for digital asset market structure and regulatory jurisdiction in the United States. According to Polymarket data cited in the source material, the chance of the bill being signed into law by the end of 2026 has fallen to 14%. On the surface, the immediate dispute centers on ethics provisions that Democrats say still contain major loopholes, including limits in coverage, treatment of existing crypto holdings, and reliance on the Department of Justice for enforcement. But the article argues that the conflict has moved well beyond technical legislative drafting. It frames the standoff as part of a broader political contest tied to President Donald Trump, Republican strategy, and the coming midterm elections. The report points to Trump’s 2025 financial disclosure, released by the U.S. Office of Government Ethics on June 30, which showed roughly $2.2 billion in income, including about $1.4 billion tied to crypto-related business activity. With floor time in September expected to be squeezed by federal funding fights and campaign politics, supporters increasingly see the post-election lame duck session as the bill’s best remaining window this year.

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