VanEck’s Matthew Sigel says AI infrastructure is not a bubble, while institutional disappointment with major L1s is weighing on crypto
Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck and manager of the VanEck Onchain Economy ETF (NODE), said the current AI infrastructure boom should not be viewed as a replay of the 19th-century U.S. railroad bubble. Speaking on The Rollup podcast episode “AI Super Cycle,” aired on Aug. 10, 2026, Sigel argued that the key difference lies in financing: railroad expansion relied on government-led land grants and speculative bond issuance, while today’s AI buildout is backed by private-sector contracts, multiyear leasing commitments, customer prepayments, and more than $2 trillion in cloud backlog held by the four largest cloud providers. He added that AI factories can begin producing value once connected to power, fiber, and chips, unlike railroads, which required a completed coast-to-coast network before their utility fully emerged. Sigel also said crypto’s weak price action has less to do with macro conditions and more to do with institutions losing conviction in major layer-1 networks such as Solana and Ethereum. VanEck has cut exposure to mainstream L1s since the U.S. election, he said, after many tokens doubled without a comparable acceleration in real adoption or breakout applications. In their place, the firm has turned more attention to enterprise chains linked to companies including Circle, Stripe, Robinhood, and, as Sigel noted, even research efforts at Wells Fargo. He said regulated institutions want predictable fee structures and are reluctant to place meaningful capital directly on open public chains. Sigel said NODE has outperformed Bitcoin by nearly 100 percentage points over the past 15 months, driven largely by an early bet on Bitcoin miners pivoting toward AI data center infrastructure.








