After a 25x Run in a Year, ZEC Reopens the Debate Over How Close It Can Get to Bitcoin
ZEC has surged 25x over the past year, reviving a familiar but controversial question in crypto markets: could Zcash ever overtake Bitcoin, or at least move materially closer to it in valuation? In the source article, Blockworks writer Jake Koch-Gallup argues that if the comparison were made on technology alone, Zcash would have a strong case. The network is framed as Bitcoin with native privacy built in, addressing a problem Satoshi Nakamoto himself discussed in 2010 when he wrote that Bitcoin could become a "better, easier, stronger version" if privacy protection were solved.
The article, however, draws a sharp line between technical merit and market reality. Bitcoin’s $1.70 trillion valuation, it says, rests on factors Zcash largely does not have: first-mover status, the deepest liquidity in crypto, the most secure network, acceptance by banks and governments, and its role as digital gold. That is why the author says ZEC is unlikely to surpass BTC in absolute terms, even if it may continue to close the gap.
ZEC’s market cap has risen to $25.3 billion, equal to 1.49% of Bitcoin’s, up from 0.05% at the start of 2025. The article also points to growing use of shielded pools, where shielded ZEC reached 5.2 million in May, as evidence that users are not only buying the asset but actively using its privacy features. At the same time, risks remain: only about 29% of ZEC is shielded, annual inflation is still around 4%, 20% of block rewards go to a development fund, and privacy features may increasingly be absorbed by larger chains such as Ethereum through projects like RAILGUN and Zama.