JPMorgan survey shows buy-side estimates for chip names running above company guidance, with ON at the center of the debate
A JPMorgan buy-side survey dated Aug. 3 points to a gap between weak price action in semiconductor stocks and still-firm earnings expectations heading into results. The most closely watched name is ON Semiconductor, where investors remain sharply split over the SYNA deal. Some see the transaction as dilutive to the high-voltage data center narrative and at odds with prior management messaging around exiting non-core operations. Even so, positioning has shifted over the past month, with new longs and short covering increasing as ON moved from net short to slightly net short after roughly a 25% share-price pullback. Survey responses cited by TechFlowPost show buy-side estimates for ON’s second-quarter revenue, gross margin, EPS, third-quarter outlook and fiscal 2027 EPS all above company guidance. About 60% of respondents also expect ON to modestly raise its 2026 AI revenue target from the current roughly $500 million level, though expectations remain low. JPMorgan published similar survey results for Applied Materials, AMD, Arista, Coherent, Cisco, Lumentum, Sandisk and Western Digital. Across most of those names, average buy-side forecasts for revenue, gross margin and earnings per share came in above management guidance. The report’s central message is that investor earnings expectations across the semiconductor group remain stronger than the recent selloff might suggest.








