risk assets

Federal Reser

2026-08-05 14:38:40

Bank of America CEO Reaffirms Three Straight Fed Cuts in Sept, Oct, Dec

Bank of America chief executive Brian Moynihan has reaffirmed the bank's stance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates three times in a row, in September, October and December of this year. Speaking on the policy outlook, Moynihan said the U.S. labor market is still holding up well, although inflation has more work to do to come down — a combination, he said, that leaves the Fed room to adjust monetary policy. He also noted that consumption trends among different income groups are now converging, which he sees as a positive sign of better economic health across the country. The bank's economics team had previously expected the Fed to kick off a rate-cutting cycle in the second half of this year. Against that backdrop, market participants are keeping a close eye on employment data, inflation momentum and consumer spending to assess how quickly the Fed might move. If the central bank delivers the anticipated sequence of cuts, financing costs could fall further, potentially offering support to equities, bonds and risk assets more broadly.

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Bitunix

2026-08-05 08:37:40

Bitunix analyst says policy credibility, not optimism alone, is driving risk assets to fresh highs

A Bitunix analyst said the latest rally in global risk assets is being supported less by earnings beats or AI hype alone and more by a repricing of policy credibility across major economies. According to the analysis cited by BlockBeats on Aug. 5, governments are now intervening across energy, exchange rates, supply chains and monetary policy, pushing markets to reassess institutional execution and the durability of policy support. AI capital spending remains the main growth engine, with Anthropic’s $10 billion computing services deal with Volta Infra and Samsung’s new V10 V-NAND launch presented as evidence that AI infrastructure buildout is still moving at high speed. At the same time, hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials suggest AI investment is continuing alongside elevated interest rates, shifting investor focus toward cash flow and earnings rather than valuation expansion alone. The note also pointed to progress in talks over the Strait of Hormuz, possible extensions of Jones Act waivers in the US, support for the yen signaled by US Treasury Secretary Bessent, and ongoing work on broader metal tariffs as signs that policy tools are now shaping energy costs, currencies and supply chains. It added that while warnings of a 1987-style crash have resurfaced, current risks are tied more to leverage and compressed volatility than to a clear deterioration in fundamentals.

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Strait of Hor

2026-08-05 01:28:08

Markets Rise on Signs of Possible Hormuz Deal as Investors Also Weigh AI Spending

Risk assets moved higher after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the United States and Iran could reach an agreement as early as Wednesday to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The prospect of restored energy shipping helped lift U.S. and Asian markets, with Bessent saying any deal would aim to guarantee “freedom of passage” through the waterway. Before the war, roughly 20% of global oil shipments moved through the strait. The market focus was not limited to geopolitics. Investors were also digesting earnings and capital spending from major technology companies. SpaceX, in its first earnings report since listing, posted second-quarter revenue above expectations, but a sharp jump in capital expenditures pressured the stock in after-hours trading. The company said capex reached $18.4 billion in the quarter, including about $16 billion for AI computing infrastructure. AMD also beat expectations in the second quarter, though its capex climbed to $808 million from $282 million a year earlier, and its shares also fell after hours. Paramount Skydance, by contrast, raised its full-year profit outlook after revenue topped Wall Street estimates and its streaming business grew.

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Federal Reser

2026-07-31 03:41:45

HTX DeepThink says Fed credibility, not just rates, is now at the center of risk-asset pricing

HTX DeepThink columnist and HTX Research researcher Chloe said global risk assets remained under pressure this week as markets shifted their focus from the timing of rate cuts to the Federal Reserve’s ability to control inflation. According to her analysis, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh tried for the first time to play down forward guidance and let market pricing serve as a more direct feedback mechanism for the economy. Markets did not read the rise in long-term yields as a natural tightening in financial conditions. Instead, they took it as a sign that inflation risks were resurfacing and that confidence in the Fed’s policy credibility was weakening. Chloe pointed to the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rising to 5.2%, alongside a weaker dollar and softer U.S. equities, as evidence that investors were demanding a higher risk premium rather than pricing in stronger economic fundamentals. She added that escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran had pushed up energy prices, reinforcing inflation expectations and lifting the perceived odds of rate hikes in September and December. In her view, higher long-end yields continue to pressure growth stocks, while tighter dollar liquidity and rising real rates also weigh on crypto assets including BTC. She said the market is now trading central bank credibility, with inflation data, energy prices and comments ahead of the September FOMC meeting set to shape the direction of global risk assets in the coming weeks.

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Bitcoin

2026-07-24 06:05:17

Bitcoin Dips Below $77,000 as Oil Shock and Treasury Yields Pressure Risk Assets

Bitcoin slid under $77,000 amid rising oil prices and 30-year Treasury yields hitting 5.13%, the highest since 2007. On-chain data shows long-term holders inactive but short-term traders underwater, with key catalysts ahead.

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Federal Reser

2026-07-24 04:50:18

Fed Rate Hike Probability Hits 52% as 30-Year Yield Breaks Above 5%, Pressuring Crypto

Market gauges show a 52% chance of at least one Fed rate hike, while 30-year Treasury yields surged past 5% for the first time since 2007, tightening conditions for risk assets including cryptocurrencies.

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Iran

2026-07-23 23:10:17

Iran President Signals Willingness to End War, Bitcoin Breaks $68K Amid Global Market Rally

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said on April 1 that Tehran is ready to end the war, provided it receives guarantees. The statement triggered a risk-on rally: oil plunged 4%, Nasdaq surged 3%, and Bitcoin topped $68,000. Markets price in de-escalation hopes.

540

Goldman Sachs

2026-07-23 21:07:49

Goldman Sachs says stocks have overtaken real estate as the main driver of U.S. household wealth

Goldman Sachs said in its latest research that stocks have surpassed real estate as the leading driver of U.S. household wealth since World War II. Data cited from the firm’s family office segment showed public equity allocations rising to 31% in 2025, up from 28% in 2023. In its 2025 investment outlook, Goldman said the shift reflects capital moving away from illiquid physical assets and toward liquid growth instruments. The report also identified AI-related growth opportunities as a key theme behind stock market returns. According to the summary carried by Techub and attributed to CryptoBriefing, the firm sees this structural change as supportive for flows into risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

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