A PANews crypto calendar highlighted a packed August 2026 for the Web3 market, with macro data, regulatory developments, token unlocks and project shutdowns or adjustments all set to land in the same month. On the macro side, the market is watching the release of U.S. July nonfarm payrolls and CPI data, along with the Federal Reserve minutes and the Jackson Hole global central banking conference. On the regulatory front, the U.S. Senate is expected to release a new draft of the CLARITY Act, while the European Union’s expanded crypto restrictions on Belarus are set to take effect. Token unlocks for ENA, AVAX, CONX, ZRO and KAITO are also on the calendar. Separately, Exchange Art, Ctrl Wallet, Zapper, NFTfi and Summer.fi may shut down or adjust services, with users advised to handle their assets in time. The calendar also points to Q2 earnings from SpaceX, Circle and Nvidia, an IPO subscription process for Unitree on Shanghai’s STAR Market, a planned Pre-IPO fundraising round by Moonshot AI, and industry events including Bitcoin Asia 2026 and the 2026 China International Big Data Industry Expo.

Bitcoin slid below $63,000 after three Federal Reserve officials who dissented at the July 29 FOMC meeting publicly defended their calls for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike. The meeting ended in a 9-3 vote to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%, but statements from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan sharpened expectations that the policy debate is far from settled. Hammack said "now is the time" for the FOMC to act, while Kashkari argued for gradual tightening as more inflation and labor data come in, and Logan warned that inaction could leave inflation above target without an external shock. Treasury yields moved higher after the statements, with the 30-year yield touching 5.267% and the 10-year yield hitting 4.737%, the highest since January 2025. U.S. stocks gave back most of their opening gains, while crypto prices turned lower. Bitcoin fell from a 24-hour high of $65,305 to $62,611, down about 3.2%, and Ether dropped below $1,900 to $1,857. The total crypto market capitalization slipped to $2.24 trillion, down 2.3% on the day.

The Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest interest-rate decision at 2 p.m. Eastern Time on July 29, with Chair Kevin Warsh scheduled to speak 30 minutes later. What looked like a routine hold only two weeks ago has turned into a far less settled setup: CME FedWatch data cited in the source showed the probability of a July rate hike rising from 10.7% on July 15 to 34.7% on July 22, briefly nearing 40% intraday last Thursday before easing back to about one-third by July 28. The target range for the federal funds rate currently stands at 3.50% to 3.75%. Wall Street is split. Goldman Sachs called this week’s decision “unusually uncertain” but still leans toward no change, pointing to softer June inflation data and the absence of a Summary of Economic Projections at this meeting. JPMorgan, by contrast, expects no move for the rest of 2026 and sees the next step as a 25-basis-point hike in the third quarter of 2027. Renaissance Macro chief economist Neil Dutta argues the Fed should hike now, citing stable employment, AI-driven demand, elevated oil and services inflation, and tariff pressure. Markets are already reacting. South Korea’s KOSPI fell 8.02% on July 28, triggering its eighth trading curb of the year. Bitcoin also slid about 2.7% to around $63,200, while total crypto market capitalization fell to $2.26 trillion.

U.S. markets are heading into a pivotal week as the Federal Reserve’s rate decision collides with earnings from major technology companies. The Fed is set to release its decision at 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time on July 29, followed by a press conference at 2:30 p.m., or 2:00 a.m. and 2:30 a.m. Beijing time on July 30. The current federal funds target range stands at 3.50% to 3.75%. Markets still broadly expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged, but traders are no longer ruling out a surprise 25-basis-point increase. Pricing has put the odds of such a move at roughly one-third. Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle and his team described this week’s meeting as “unusually uncertain,” pointing to softer June inflation data and the Fed’s historical reluctance to hike rates without signaling. JPMorgan’s Michael Feroli remains more cautious, saying policy framework and communication reforms tied to Chair Warsh are unlikely to alter the near-term rate path quickly. Renaissance Macro’s Neil Dutta, however, warned that resilient employment, AI-driven demand, elevated oil and services inflation, and tariff pressure could still push the Fed to act sooner than expected.

New Huo Technology Research said the crypto market showed notable resilience last week even as macro stress intensified across global markets. Brent crude rose above $100 a barrel for the first time since 2022, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield moved past 4.7%, and the so-called Magnificent Seven lost a combined $800 billion in a single day. In the report, the institute pointed to the escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict, changing expectations for Federal Reserve policy, and still-hot labor data as the main forces pressuring risk assets. Market pricing for a July FOMC hike was put at about 40%, while the odds of a September move were also rising. On the industry side, the report highlighted Goldman Sachs CEO support for the Clarity Act, the launch of a new crypto index by S&P Dow Jones Indices and Pantera, and BitMEX’s planned shutdown by Sept. 23. It also noted that spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a combined $450 million in net outflows over two days, while ETH ETFs were relatively steadier, with just $7 million in net outflows on Friday. Technically, the report said Bitcoin remains above its daily EMA30 and is testing resistance near $65,500 and $68,800, with key support at $64,300 and $62,000.

Rising energy prices, new U.S. tariffs and a fresh surge in AI-related capital spending have pushed inflation concerns back to the front of global markets, according to BlockBeats. Brent crude briefly moved above $100 for the first time in two months before easing to $98.38 on Friday, still up nearly 12% for the week. Markets broadly expect the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan to leave rates unchanged next week. Even so, federal funds futures show a 35% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed hike next week, while a September increase has been fully priced in. The macro calendar is packed. Investors are watching rate decisions from the three central banks, along with U.S. second-quarter GDP, June core PCE, eurozone second-quarter GDP and July CPI data. At the same time, a heavy earnings slate is coming from SK Hynix, Meta, Microsoft, Robinhood, Qualcomm, Arm, Apple, Amazon, Coinbase, Reddit and Roblox. Attention is likely to center on how major technology companies are spending on AI and whether those investments are producing returns. Alphabet had previously raised its full-year capital expenditure forecast to $205 billion, a plan that has already drawn concern over spending levels and negative free cash flow.

XRP trades at $1.36, down 17% in February, with $1.00 as key support. Mutuum Finance (MUTM) raises $20.5M in presale, 19,000+ holders, Halborn audited, and analysts predict 20x gains.

Japan PM Takaichi reportedly urged BOJ Governor Ueda against further rate hikes, sending the yen lower. Market expectations for a March rate hike fade, easing liquidation risks for crypto assets tied to yen carry trades.