JPMorgan Says SK Hynix Share Decline Fears Overdone, Sees Midterm Sentiment Improving
JPMorgan said market concerns over SK Hynix's share decline are overdone, as the chipmaker pulls forward its shareholder return program and maintains HBM competitiveness, which should help improve mid-term sentiment. The key catalysts include the formal announcement of the shareholder return plan by end-September 2026 and an update on HBM contract pricing around the same time. The bank projects cumulative free cash flow of over 800 trillion Korean won over three years, giving SK Hynix ample capacity for shareholder returns; with gains from the sale of its Kioxia stake and other items, its return scale could exceed that of other global memory firms. SK Hynix plans to invest about 54 trillion won in infrastructure, including 35.2 trillion won for a DRAM fab in Yongin and 19.1 trillion won for a NAND fab in Cheongju. On HBM4 pricing reports claiming a 50% discount vs. rivals, JPMorgan said the claims are inaccurate. It expects HBM prices to rise less than 40% year-over-year in 2026, partly due to the company's priority on higher-margin long-term contracts for DDR5, LPDDR5 and NAND, and its multi-year procurement approach with top customer Nvidia. Given annual repricing of HBM, short-term pricing becomes less important after securing 3-5 year contracts.








