Bitcoin2026-09-22 00:17:09Willy Woo says Bitcoin rally may have 2 to 4 weeks left before overheatingBitcoin on-chain analyst Willy Woo said the current move in Bitcoin still appears to have room to run for another two to four weeks before the market turns overbought and needs to cool off. He also pointed to a period from late August to mid-September, when the oscillator he referenced cooled while price action stayed firm. In his reading, that divergence suggested buying demand was strong enough to absorb selling from short-term profit-takers. The remarks frame the latest stretch of Bitcoin trading as a move that may not be exhausted yet, even if Woo expects a cooling phase after the market reaches overbought conditions. His comments were cited by ChainCatcher.320
Bitcoin2026-09-18 10:46:17Bitcoin’s Fisher Transform prints a fourth monthly bullish cross, reviving bull-market hopesBitcoin is showing another possible long-term bottom signal after the Fisher Transform indicator printed a rare monthly bullish crossover, according to analyst Willy Woo. The setup, recorded in August and tied to a July cross at -2.26, marks only the fourth such event in Bitcoin’s history. Woo said the previous three monthly crosses all aligned with bear-market bottoms and did so without false signals, including the late-2022 low when the indicator reached -3.83. Woo argued that the signal stands out because bear-market bottoms tend to form with fewer speculative traders in the market, which can make reversals cleaner than the choppy price action often seen near tops. He also noted that the current signal is not a guarantee of immediate upside, as Bitcoin could still consolidate or move lower before any broader uptrend becomes clear. On the weekly chart, Woo pointed to a bullish divergence that he said resembles the final stage of Bitcoin’s 2022 bear market. The Fisher Transform hit a swing low of -2.85 at the end of December last year while BTC/USD traded near $90,000. Since then, the indicator has made higher lows even as price has posted lower lows. Even with several onchain metrics flashing reversal signals in recent months, questions remain over whether Bitcoin’s 21-month low near $57,000 on July 1 was the true cycle bottom.300
Bitcoin2026-09-16 01:24:02Willy Woo says U.S. investors sold after CLARITY vote failed while offshore markets kept buyingBitcoin analyst Willy Woo said selling from U.S. investors picked up after the CLARITY Act failed to clear a procedural vote in the Senate, pointing to exchange cumulative volume delta data as evidence. According to Woo, Coinbase’s CVD accelerated lower to about negative 6,659 BTC, while Binance’s CVD recovered from its lows to around negative 5,841 BTC. He said that pattern suggests offshore markets, which he described as more dominant, were still absorbing supply. At the same time, Bitcoin pulled back from a high of $80,560 and briefly fell to $74,968. Woo also cited CVD readings from other venues, with Bybit at roughly negative 582 BTC, OKX at negative 1,135 BTC, and Bitstamp at negative 764 BTC. He characterized the divergence between Coinbase and Binance flows as bullish.420
Bitcoin2026-09-11 10:53:55Muted buying below $58K leaves Bitcoin’s July floor in doubt, onchain data suggestsBitcoin’s brief drop below $58,000 in early July did not trigger the kind of aggressive dip-buying often seen around major lows, according to Cointelegraph’s review of HODL Waves data. The onchain metric, which tracks BTC supply by the length of time coins remain dormant, showed only a small increase in newly moved coins after BTC/USD fell to $57,800 on July 1, its lowest level since September 2024. Data from Look Into Bitcoin put the 1-day-to-7-day dormant supply bucket at 1.97% on July 1 and just 2.35% by July 5. Onchain analyst Willy Woo said the pattern stood out from prior long-term lows, where buyers typically rushed in as price made fresh lows. In a post on X, he said the bottom may have been bought slowly, possibly even by a single whale, while also noting that institutional investment vehicles could be affecting how HODL Waves should be read. The debate over whether July marked a bear-market bottom remains unresolved. Cointelegraph said views have diverged after BTC rebounded above $80,000, while analyst Rekt Capital argued the broader bearish structure still looks intact unless Bitcoin avoids a weak weekly close below roughly $78,300. August, meanwhile, brought stronger demand, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs posting $3.8 billion in net inflows over three weeks.830
Willy Woo2026-09-06 13:03:30Willy Woo: Bitcoin and US Stocks Are Decoupling, Similar to 2017 Bull Run PreludeCrypto analyst Willy Woo stated that Bitcoin and US stocks are significantly decoupling, a pattern last seen in 2015 before the 2017 bull run. He highlighted historical parallels: BTC entered a bull market in 2015-2016 while stocks were weak, and soared further in 2017 when stocks turned bullish. He sees current BTC liquidity strengthening and stocks showing fragility.750
bitcoin2026-09-05 06:42:50Bitcoin's Drawdowns Narrow Across Cycles, Rally Magnitudes ShrinkBitcoin's market cycle structure has persisted over 18 years, with drawdowns narrowing from 85% in 2014 to 53% in the 2024-2025 cycle. The magnitude of rallies from cycle lows to subsequent all-time highs has dropped from 580x to 8x. Galaxy Digital's head of research Alex Thorn noted that the current cycle's pullback is significantly smaller. Analyst Willy Woo suggested bitcoin may be transitioning from a four-year to a six-to-eight-year cycle, though the thesis is unconfirmed. James Check observed that the price floor has been rising each cycle while the ceiling remains stable, and Jesse Myers believes bitcoin may have just entered a bull market lasting two to three years.770
X Money2026-09-04 02:03:21X Money may link AI agents to user funds as Willy Woo says Bitcoin could be shifting to a 6-8 year cycleTechFlow’s Sept. 4 crypto roundup covered a broad set of market and product updates, led by a claim from Nima Owji that X Money may eventually let users connect AI agents to help manage funds. The feature has not been released, and neither a launch date nor final product details have been confirmed. The digest also highlighted comments from on-chain analyst Willy Woo, who said Bitcoin’s classic four-year rhythm tied to halving-driven supply shocks may be losing force as annual new issuance falls to about 0.8% and later 0.4%. In his view, Bitcoin could be entering a transition toward a 6-8 year cycle that looks more like traditional finance’s short-term debt cycle. Several market data points stood out. A report cited by Pengpai said only 12 of the tokens that ranked in the top 100 in 2021 have posted positive returns over the past five years, while nearly 60% are down more than 90% and three no longer have valid price quotes. BTC also moved above $80,000, according to HTX data. Elsewhere, Lookonchain said WLFI adviser ogle turned a $4,997 PONS buy into an unrealized position worth about $5.4 million, while Arthur Hayes said EUR/JPY is the macro indicator he is watching most closely.1100
Bitcoin2026-09-03 07:33:42Willy Woo: Bitcoin May Be Shifting from 4-Year Cycle to 6-8 Year Cycle as Halving Impact FadesAnalyst Willy Woo suggests Bitcoin's long-held 4-year cycle, driven by halving supply shocks, could be evolving. Annual new supply has dropped to 0.8% and is set to fall to 0.4%, weakening internal forces. Meanwhile, traditional financial markets are in a 6-8 year short-term debt cycle, and Bitcoin may align with this longer rhythm.1040
