Golden Cross

Binance Resea

2026-09-29 07:23:32

Binance Research says Bitcoin’s pre-golden-cross reset depth may shape upside after the signal

Binance Research said in a new report that the amount of time Bitcoin spends below its 200-day moving average before a golden cross may help explain the scale of gains that follow. The study reviewed 12 historical golden cross events, defined as the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average, and found a link between the number of days Bitcoin closed below the 200-day average in the prior year and later price performance. According to the report, six cases qualified as “deep resets,” meaning Bitcoin traded below the 200-day moving average for at least 150 days before the golden cross formed. In those instances, Bitcoin’s peak gain over the following year ranged from about 100% to 600%. The report also said the current macro backdrop remains a test for the market. Binance Research linked Bitcoin’s recent pullback to rising US Treasury yields, with the 10-year Treasury yield reaching 5.17% on Sept. 25, its highest level since 2007. Even so, spot demand held up during the bond sell-off. US spot Bitcoin ETFs posted $998.95 million in net inflows on Sept. 21, the largest single-day inflow of 2026, the report said. Binance Research added that if Bitcoin holds above its 50-week moving average through upcoming PCE inflation and employment data releases, that would offer a stronger confirmation signal.

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XRP

2026-09-18 16:42:32

XRP Jumps 6.93% as Bitcoin Rebound Puts a Daily Golden Cross Back in View

XRP posted one of its strongest single-day moves in weeks after Bitcoin climbed back above $80,000, easing pressure across the crypto market. The token opened at $1.2964, rose to an intraday high of $1.4028, and later traded near $1.3863, up 6.93% on the day. The move came as Bitcoin dominance slipped from 64% to 59%, a sign that traders were rotating capital from Bitcoin into smaller tokens. On XRP’s daily chart, the 50-day exponential moving average remains below the 200-day EMA, which keeps the asset in a death-cross structure for now. Even so, the gap between those averages has narrowed sharply and is now the smallest since XRP’s last golden cross in August 2024. If the current pace holds, a daily golden cross could appear as early as mid-October. Other indicators are showing firmer conditions. XRP’s ADX stands at 35.2, above the 25 threshold many traders use to identify a meaningful trend, while DI+ is above DI-. RSI is at 54.6, still neutral despite the nearly 7% daily gain. The Squeeze Momentum Indicator has remained on for 11 straight bars, suggesting compressed volatility ahead of a larger move. Still, the report notes that failure to hold $1.38 would weaken the setup before any daily crossover is confirmed.

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XRP

2026-09-18 11:15:00

XRP nears a golden cross as traders rotate toward altcoins

XRP is close to triggering a golden cross, with its 50-day moving average sitting about 2% below the 200-day line, according to a Sept. 18 CoinDesk Daybook excerpt. The setup is drawing attention as bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap falls below 59% and traders shift toward altcoins. Historical data in the report shows that XRP’s prior 16 golden crosses all ended within 12 months, and six of them failed to last even three months. Still, short-term upside has been meaningful in some cases: among the 10 crosses that lasted at least three months, five produced gains ranging from 85% to more than 1,000%, including a 1,009.6% rally after the April 2017 cross and a 135% gain after the February 2021 cross. CoinDesk also noted that UNI, NEAR and ARB each surged by nearly 30% in 24 hours while bitcoin held near $78,000 after a week shaped by the Clarity Act setback and a Federal Reserve rate increase.

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Bitcoin

2026-09-11 20:53:39

Bitcoin’s Daily Golden Cross Briefly Appears, Then Slips Away as Rate-Hike Odds Jump

Bitcoin briefly flashed a confirmed daily golden cross on Friday before the signal faded later in the session as prices pulled back from an intraday high near $79,837. BTC was trading around $77,438 at the time cited in the report, still up 1.19% on the day but well off the session peak. The move came as markets turned more hawkish after U.S. inflation data showed core CPI rising 0.3% month over month, above the 0.2% expected by analysts. According to CME FedWatch, the implied probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate increase rose from about 69% shortly after the data release to 86.5% within hours. In the report’s framing, that shift weighed on risk assets such as Bitcoin and tech stocks. On the technical side, Bitcoin’s 50-day exponential moving average briefly moved above its 200-day EMA, forming what traders call a golden cross, before slipping back below it after the price retreated. The article noted that this kind of back-and-forth is not unusual when the two averages sit close together. Even so, the daily ADX stood at 45 and RSI at 55.5, while the 4-hour chart kept its bullish cross intact despite weaker momentum readings, including a 43.3 RSI and a 25.1 ADX.

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Bitcoin

2026-09-12 04:17:38

Bitcoin daily golden cross quickly fades as odds of a Fed rate hike climb to 86.5%

Bitcoin’s daily-chart golden cross lasted only briefly on Sept. 12 before reversing, as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data pushed Federal Reserve tightening expectations higher. BTC rose to as much as $79,837, lifting the 50-day exponential moving average above the 200-day EMA, a move traders often read as a bullish crossover. The rally did not hold. Bitcoin later slipped to about $77,438, and the 50-day EMA fell back below the 200-day EMA, invalidating the signal on the daily timeframe. The shift came alongside a sharp repricing in rate expectations. U.S. core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, above the 0.2% market expectation. CME FedWatch data showed the probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike next week jumping from about 69% after the CPI release to 86.5%. Even so, the source noted that Bitcoin’s medium-term structure has not fully turned bearish. On the 4-hour chart, the 50-period EMA remains above the 200-period EMA, keeping that golden cross intact. The daily ADX stands at 45, pointing to a still-strong broader trend, while the 4-hour RSI has dropped to 43.3, showing weaker short-term momentum.

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Bitcoin

2026-09-11 10:13:44

Bitcoin pulls back as another golden cross fails to spark follow-through

Bitcoin has pulled back even as another golden cross appeared on the chart, according to CoinDesk. The report said the signal may still lend support to the longer-term outlook for bitcoin, but historical patterns suggest the bigger part of the move higher often happens before the crossover is printed. In that reading, the golden cross may confirm an existing trend rather than trigger a fresh leg up on its own. CoinDesk’s summary focused on the gap between the bullish reputation of the indicator and what past performance has shown after the signal appears. The move leaves traders with a familiar setup: a constructive long-term technical marker on paper, but limited evidence that it reliably delivers immediate upside once it arrives.

740

Bitcoin

2026-09-11 12:12:06

Bitcoin’s latest golden cross failed again as the post-signal move turned lower

Bitcoin printed a golden cross earlier this week, with the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average, a setup that is usually treated as a bullish signal. This time, though, the market did not follow the script. According to the analysis cited by BlockBeats, BTC had already climbed from $62,000 to $82,000 before the crossover formed. After the signal appeared, the price instead slipped from around $80,000 to near $77,000. The report argues that this has happened repeatedly in past cycles. In several cases, Bitcoin posted most of its gains before the golden cross appeared, then pulled back shortly afterward, making the signal look more lagging than predictive. It cited examples from 2021, 2023, 2024 and 2025: BTC rose from $35,000 to about $52,000 before a September 2021 crossover and later fell to around $40,000; from $16,000 to $23,000 before a February 2023 crossover and then retreated to roughly $20,000 in March; from $54,000 to $70,000 before an October 2024 crossover and then eased to about $67,000 before November; and from around $76,000 in April 2025 to about $110,000 in May before dropping back to around $100,000 in June after the signal formed.

740

Bitcoin

2026-09-10 18:46:04

Bitcoin Gives Back Gains as Markets React to Hot PPI, While a Golden Cross Nears

Bitcoin slipped alongside stocks after a hotter-than-expected U.S. August Producer Price Index revived concern that the Federal Reserve could raise rates instead of cutting them. The S&P 500 fell 0.59%, the Nasdaq dropped nearly 1%, and roughly 85% of the top 100 crypto assets by market capitalization were in the red over the past 24 hours. Oil moving above $100 a barrel during ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and a jump in Treasury yields added to pressure across risk assets. According to Decrypt, Bitcoin opened at $78,282, hit an intraday high of $78,526, then fell to $76,651 before trading at $77,323, down $959 or 1.22% on the day. Even so, the broader chart structure remains constructive relative to August lows near $64,000. Technical readings cited in the report showed the ADX at 45.8 and the RSI at 55.6, while the 50-day EMA is closing in on the 200-day EMA, setting up a possible golden cross in the next few days. The report also pointed to $3.8 billion in net inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs over the past three weeks, with total net assets at $101.3 billion. Decrypt noted that a golden cross is a lagging indicator and not a guarantee, adding that Friday’s CPI report and next week’s Fed decision may matter more for Bitcoin’s next major move than the moving-average crossover itself.

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