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Warren asks Bessent to explain legal basis and costs of yen intervention
Warren asks Bessent to explain basis and size of yen intervention
Yen Slips Back to 159 as U.S.-Japan Intervention Loses Traction
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Arthur Hayes
2026-08-11 06:02:12

Arthur Hayes says a FIMA route could channel $1.373 trillion in Treasury-backed liquidity and lift Bitcoin, gold

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes argues that U.S. and Japanese officials may favor a little-used route to support the yen without directly dumping U.S. Treasuries: Japan’s Ministry of Finance could repo its Treasury holdings through the Federal Reserve’s FIMA facility, obtain dollars, then sell those dollars to buy yen in the foreign-exchange market. In Hayes’ framework, that would amount to a balance-sheet expansion at the Fed because outstanding FIMA lending would rise alongside the collateral posted. He says the mechanism would strengthen the yen while injecting fresh dollar liquidity into the global system. Hayes lays out three possible ways to drive yen appreciation: aggressive rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, forced repatriation by Japanese institutions such as GPIF, or FIMA-backed Treasury financing. He dismisses the first two as politically and financially difficult, and says the third path is the one officials are most likely to choose. He estimates that the Japanese government and GPIF together hold about $1.373 trillion in U.S. Treasuries, a pool large enough, in his view, to matter if FIMA limits are loosened. Based on that thesis, Hayes says he is already heavily positioned in Bitcoin, physical gold and gold miners. He also names Ether and Ethena’s ENA token as crypto assets he sees as offering more upside if dollar liquidity expands and Bitcoin’s basis trade improves.

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Arthur Hayes says a FIMA route could channel $1.373 trillion in Treasury-backed liquidity and lift Bitcoin, gold
Arthur Hayes says stronger dollar liquidity could lift Bitcoin as he lays out yen strategy
Goldman Sachs says yen intervention reinforced the dollar’s reserve status