Logan

Google
2026-09-14 00:12:11

Google DeepMind RSI speculation grows after API leak claims and Gemini update clues

Speculation that Google DeepMind may have moved closer to recursive self-improvement, or RSI, flared after an alleged Google generative language API response surfaced online with a model labeled "rsi-model-liverl-le." The screenshot, shared on X, also appeared to show 10 numbered training slots tied to the same naming pattern. Soon after, one of the users involved claimed related API keys had been revoked, while Google and DeepMind stayed silent. The leak gained traction because it landed alongside recent reporting that Google co-founder Sergey Brin has been pressing Gemini teams to focus on RSI, and because Google’s own September 2 blog post on Gemini 3.8 Flash said long-running agent loops were being used to "recursively evaluate and refine" underlying models. That wording, combined with a release cadence of three Flash versions in six weeks, led some AI observers to argue that Google may already be using a self-improving loop in production workflows. The report stops short of treating the screenshot as verified. Its authenticity has not been independently confirmed, and the listed token limits match existing Gemini-family specifications. Even so, the combination of leak claims, public comments from Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei that RSI has begun appearing across the industry, and Google’s own published language has turned the next Gemini Flash release into a closely watched test point.

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Google DeepMind RSI speculation grows after API leak claims and Gemini update clues
Retail Tradin
2026-09-14 00:00:00

Tulip King argues retail trading could define the next 20 years of market structure

A PANews article compiled from commentary by Tulip King frames the rise of retail trading as more than a reaction to economic stress or speculative desperation. The piece argues that what looks like chaos on the surface may actually be the turning point of a much longer cycle, one in which open networks, creator culture and crypto-native financial rails push individual participants closer to the center of global markets. To make that case, the article compares crypto with YouTube. Just as YouTube lowered the cost of publishing and distribution, allowing creators to challenge television, newsrooms, consumer brands and even Hollywood, crypto is described as doing something similar for trading and finance: always on, permissionless, global and cheap to access. The article points to Bitcoin, Zcash, stablecoins, Ethereum, Solana, Hyperliquid, prediction markets, perpetual futures and flash loans as signs that crypto has already built new monetary and market infrastructure. Tulip King also argues that the next stage may revolve around social trading. Streamers with visible track records, onchain performance data and creator-style distribution could shape how traders are followed, how capital is allocated and how talent is hired. Even so, the article does not claim everyone will make money. Its narrower point is that future market volume may become far more retail-driven, even if profits remain concentrated among the most skilled participants.

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Tulip King argues retail trading could define the next 20 years of market structure
Google
2026-09-12 02:47:19

Google RSI rumor flares up after screenshot leak and API key revocation claim

A fresh rumor around Google DeepMind and recursive self-improvement, or RSI, gained traction on X after a sequence of posts from two accounts, lyra and Lentils. The first post used an acrostic-style capitalization of the letters R, S, and I in a congratulatory message addressed to Google DeepMind, prompting speculation that Google may have crossed a milestone tied to recursive self-improvement. More than an hour later, lyra claimed in a reply to Google AI Studio product lead Logan Kilpatrick that Google had revoked all of the account’s GDM API keys, though that allegation remains unverified and neither Google nor DeepMind has publicly responded. The discussion intensified after another account posted a JSON-style screenshot showing a model named models/rsi-model-liverl-le, with the display name "RSI Model LiveRL LE." The screenshot also listed a 1,048,576-token input limit, a 65,536-token output limit, generateContent support, batch generation, and thinking set to true. Still, those specifications do not stand out on their own. The report notes that similar limits appeared on another newly surfaced Google model, and says the numbers are standard settings across the Gemini line. Google has also openly referenced recursive evaluation loops in Gemini 3.8 Flash materials, which helps explain why the rumor spread quickly, but no official confirmation has been issued about the leaked model name.

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Google RSI rumor flares up after screenshot leak and API key revocation claim
US CPI
2026-09-11 06:15:08

CPI print due tonight sets up next week’s Fed call as Brent tops $110 and BTC slips below $79,000

The U.S. consumer price index report due at 20:30 on Sept. 11 is being treated by the market as the last major data point before next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision. According to ABMedia, traders are using a 0.3% month-on-month rise in core CPI as the main threshold. At the same time, Brent crude climbed above $110 a barrel, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reached its highest level of 2023, and Bitcoin fell below $79,000. Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel said on CNBC that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is likely to raise rates, arguing that holding steady could trigger four, five, or even six dissenting votes. The July Federal Open Market Committee meeting already saw three dissenters — Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan — all backing a rate hike. ABMedia said that was the largest number of dissenting votes faced by a new Fed chair early in a tenure since 1970. The report also said the latest jump in oil prices is unlikely to feed directly into tonight’s core CPI reading because core CPI excludes food and energy. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, meanwhile, kept a bullish longer-term view on equities while still expecting a near-10% pullback in major U.S. stock indexes before year-end.

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CPI print due tonight sets up next week’s Fed call as Brent tops $110 and BTC slips below $79,000
Federal Reser
2026-09-09 07:33:08

Shenyin Wanguo says a September Fed rate hike may be the least bad option

A stronger-than-expected August U.S. nonfarm payrolls report has pushed market pricing for a September Federal Reserve rate hike back to around 60%, according to a Sept. 8 report from Shenyin Wanguo Research cited by MarsBit. The report argues that once market-implied odds of a hike rise above 40% in the final 10 trading days before a Fed meeting, a hike has historically never failed to materialize. If that pattern breaks this time, the firm said, term premium could move sharply higher and trigger a market backlash. The report points to the Aug. 4 payrolls release, which showed 162,000 jobs added versus market expectations of 55,000, as the main trigger for the repricing. It also says the odds of August CPI coming in meaningfully below expectations are only about 10.6%, based on a 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation built on four institutional forecasts. Energy pressure linked to disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and structural price increases in AI-related services were cited as reasons inflation may stay sticky. Shenyin Wanguo adds that if the Fed does raise rates in September, the market reaction may depend less on the move itself and more on whether the projected path of future hikes is revised upward. If the dot plot does not point to a much steeper path, the firm says the shock to markets and Treasury yields could remain limited.

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Shenyin Wanguo says a September Fed rate hike may be the least bad option
nonfarm payro
2026-09-03 06:15:08

August payrolls may shift September rate odds, but inflation still holds the Fed’s center of gravity

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the August nonfarm payrolls report on Sept. 4 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, the last full employment report before the Federal Reserve’s Sept. 15-16 policy meeting. Expectations cited in the source put job growth at about 58,000, with a Reuters median at roughly 56,000 and the unemployment rate seen holding at 4.1%. That would amount to only a modest rebound after July payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23,000 and May and June were revised down by a combined 103,000. The report arrives in a policy setting that looks very different from the old “bad news is good news” playbook. Inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% long-run target, while higher energy prices and supply-chain pressure have added fresh upside risks. TradingKey author Yulia Zeng argues the market is not looking for the weakest possible labor print, but for orderly cooling: slower hiring, a steady jobless rate and easing wage pressure. In that setup, payrolls could change how urgent a September move looks, but not settle the direction of policy on their own. That call may depend on whether wage data and the Aug. CPI report, due Sept. 11, cool alongside employment.

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August payrolls may shift September rate odds, but inflation still holds the Fed’s center of gravity
Federal Reser
2026-08-25 22:09:47

Fed Leaves Discount Rate Unchanged as Three Members Back a 25bp Hike

The Federal Reserve voted on July 29 to keep the discount rate unchanged at 3.75%, even as the federal funds rate decision showed a 9-3 split. Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan supported a 25 basis point hike, citing inflation that remains above the Fed’s 2% target. Chair Kevin Warsh said in the meeting minutes that tighter monetary policy may be needed if inflation does not ease. The split decision highlights a cautious stance on the discount rate and deeper debate over the policy path ahead. Markets are now watching the next meeting, set for Sept. 15-16, for any increase in support for a rate hike.

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Fed Leaves Discount Rate Unchanged as Three Members Back a 25bp Hike
NFT
2026-08-25 17:08:03

Protos reviews 32 NFT predictions and finds most never came close to materializing

Protos revisited 32 public predictions about non-fungible tokens and argued that most of the grand claims made during the sector’s boom years have not held up. The review spans insurance, real estate, ticketing, gaming, social media, digital identity, music, retail, and the metaverse, citing comments from Kevin O’Leary, Mark Cuban, Brian Armstrong, Mark Zuckerberg, Justin Sun, Tyler Winklevoss, and others. According to the piece, even many high-profile corporate and celebrity NFT efforts were later shut down, removed, sold, or quietly abandoned. Protos also contrasts old market forecasts with current figures, noting that CoinGecko places NFT market capitalization at roughly $1.7 billion, far below Stephanie Wissink’s projection that it would exceed $80 billion by 2025. In gaming, the article highlights Michael Wagner’s claim that Star Atlas could attract billions of users, while saying the latest economic report for SAGE: Starbased showed 2,000 monthly active users when that metric stopped being tracked. One of the few examples Protos presents as relatively successful is Pudgy Penguins, where CEO Luca Netz said he would turn a failed project into a brand known inside and outside the NFT market; the report says the brand has since placed derivative toys in major stores and improved its standing in NFT rankings.

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Protos reviews 32 NFT predictions and finds most never came close to materializing